Ross Eviction Risk: Elevated , Lancaster

It sits 2.4 points above the Lancaster County average of 4.2. 71% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.6/10. 46% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Lancaster County average of 41.1%.

Severe burden reaches 9%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Court records carry 1,157 eviction filings across 7 observed years. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 3/10.

At $1,108 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Lancaster commands. The worst year on record was 2005, when 14.6% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Lancaster. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 11.6% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 82nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.