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Neighborhood · Ranked #9,878 of 84,120 nationally

Ross Eviction Risk: Elevated , Lancaster

Tract 42071000400 · Lancaster County, PA · pop 3,586 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 42071000400 (the Ross area of Lancaster, Pennsylvania) comes in at 6.2/10, the Elevated tier. On the national scale it ranks #17,236 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 46% of renter households, a severe level, and 9% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,108 monthly, set against $50,574 in average yearly household income, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 71% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 38% Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units2,078
Renter share71.0%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate23.4%
Median income$50,574

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Ross
Very High
Within parent city
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 21 tracts In Lancaster
High
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 116 tracts In Lancaster County
Very High
Within state
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#370 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lancaster and the region

Centroid at 40.0471, -76.3073 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ross scores 6.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lancaster
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
23.4% poverty · this tract
5.9
Supply constraint
$1,108 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lancaster
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lancaster
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lancaster
6.9

How Ross compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ross risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.26.2This tracttract 000400Lancaster: 4.14.1Lancasterparent cityCounty: 3.43.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,157Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 11.64%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.6%Peak (2005)
  • 178Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420710004002000: 159 filings (10.69/100 renter HHs)2001: 177 filings (11.90/100 renter HHs)2002: 167 filings (11.22/100 renter HHs)2003: 126 filings (8.47/100 renter HHs)2004: 161 filings (10.82/100 renter HHs)2005: 189 filings (14.60/100 renter HHs)2006: 178 filings (13.75/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ross. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ross

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lancaster County average of 5.3 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,157 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 11.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 14.6% of renter households in 2005.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 42071000400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42071000400?

Census tract 42071000400 in the Ross neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42071000400?

Median gross rent is $1,108/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42071000400?

23.4% of residents in tract 42071000400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,586.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42071000400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 63th, minority 58th, housing 69th.
Q5

Is tract 42071000400 considered part of Ross?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42071000400 fall within Ross (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42071000400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,157 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42071000400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.64% of renter households, peaking at 14.6% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42071000400 compare to Lancaster overall?

Tract 42071000400 scores 6.2/10, higher than the parent city of Lancaster at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42071000400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lancaster

Top eight tracts in Lancaster ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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