Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally
The Avenues Eviction Risk: Moderate , York
Tract 42133001200 · York County, PA · pop 3,292 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 42133001200, home to 3,292 residents in the The Avenues neighborhood of York, scores 6.5/10 for landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #11,620 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 51% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 9% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $947 monthly, set against $48,591 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 75% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38%
Stable renters 37%
Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units1,186
Renter share75.2%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate18.1%
Median income$48,591
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
38
th percentile
Low
Within county
92
th percentile
Very High
Within state
85
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across York and the region
Centroid at 39.9582, -76.7435 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Avenues scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from York
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
18.1% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$947 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from York
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from York
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from York
7.7
How The Avenues compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 100
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 100%Socioeconomic
- 96%Household composition
- 76%Racial/ethnic minority
- 98%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 78%Grade C
- 1%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,156Total filings over 7 yrs
- 24.47%Avg annual filing rate
- 29.7%Peak (2002)
- 168Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 58% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Avenues. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Avenues
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from York eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the York County average of 5.6 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Part of this tract, about 1% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,156 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 24.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 29.7% of renter households in 2002.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 42133001200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42133001200?
Census tract 42133001200 in the The Avenues neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42133001200?
Median gross rent is $947/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42133001200?
18.1% of residents in tract 42133001200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,292.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42133001200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 96th, minority 76th, housing 98th.
Q5
Is tract 42133001200 considered part of The Avenues?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42133001200 fall within The Avenues (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42133001200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,156 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42133001200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 24.47% of renter households, peaking at 29.7% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42133001200 compare to York overall?
Tract 42133001200 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of York at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from York eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42133001200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in York
Top eight tracts in York ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Royal Square District
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Royal Square District
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
McClellan Heights
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Northwest Triangle
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Elmwood
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
WeCo District
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Elmwood
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
WeCo District
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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