Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Bryan Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 48041000401 · Brazos, TX · pop 3,818

Census tract 48041000401 covers part of Bryan, TX, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,818. The severe-burden share is 44%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 9% Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units969
Renter share21.8%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate19.9%
Median income$48,789

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#11 of 28 tracts In Bryan
Elevated
Within county
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#28 of 63 tracts In Brazos
Elevated
Within state
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#1,261 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
High
National
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#35,669 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bryan and the region

Centroid at 30.6845, -96.3599 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bryan scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bryan
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
19.9% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,375 rent vs county FMR
6.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bryan
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bryan
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bryan
8.2

How Bryan compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bryan risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 0004014.3Bryanparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bryan

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.3/10.

Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $48,789, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 23.9% against 11.3% nationally.

The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against Brazos County at 53.3%, 59% of renters here are cost-burdened.

At $1,375 a month, rents run 15% over what the rest of Bryan commands. The voucher gap is 14.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 22% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 9.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48041000401

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48041000401?

Census tract 48041000401 in Bryan scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48041000401?

Median gross rent is $1,375/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48041000401?

19.9% of residents in tract 48041000401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,818.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48041000401?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 72th, minority 87th, housing 79th.
Q5

How does tract 48041000401 compare to Bryan overall?

Tract 48041000401 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Bryan at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bryan eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bryan

Top eight tracts in Bryan ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related