Within parent city
12
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally
Denton Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 48121021415 · Denton, TX · pop 9,126 · 87% of tract blocks fall in Denton
Tract 48121021415 sits in Denton eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.3/10. It is home to 9,126 residents. Severe burden reaches 25%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units3,003
Renter share35.5%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate7.3%
Median income$123,234
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
43
th percentile
Moderate
National
27
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Denton and the region
Centroid at 33.1889, -97.0762 · click any tract to drill in
Why Denton scores 3.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Denton
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.3% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,535 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Denton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Denton
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Denton
3.5
How Denton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 40
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 24%Socioeconomic
- 52%Household composition
- 67%Racial/ethnic minority
- 48%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 355Total filings 2020-21
- 4.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.96×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Denton
Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10.
Average gross rent is $1,535, 8% above the Denton average. Nationally it ranks #61,558 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $123,234, annual rent is just 15%. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
44% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Denton County average of 3.8 closely. 35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121021415
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121021415?
Census tract 48121021415 in Denton scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121021415?
Median gross rent is $1,535/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121021415?
7.3% of residents in tract 48121021415 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 9,126.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121021415?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 52th, minority 67th, housing 48th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 48121021415 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.96× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q6
How does tract 48121021415 compare to Denton overall?
Tract 48121021415 scores 3.3/10, lower than the parent city of Denton at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Denton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Denton
Top eight tracts in Denton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121021203
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121021204
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121021304
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020507
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020508
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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