Within parent city
39
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally
Denton Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 48121020604 · Denton, TX · pop 3,317
48121020604 is a census tract in Denton, TX. It scores 4.7/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,317 residents. 40% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units1,342
Renter share45.0%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate10.0%
Median income$83,198
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
79
th percentile
High
Within state
77
th percentile
High
National
55
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Denton and the region
Centroid at 33.2222, -97.1026 · click any tract to drill in
Why Denton scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Denton
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
10.0% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,670 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Denton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Denton
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Denton
3.5
How Denton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 54
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 61%Socioeconomic
- 36%Household composition
- 65%Racial/ethnic minority
- 44%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 140Total filings 2020-21
- 1.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.50×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Denton
59% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Denton County average of 45.5%. The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10.
On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10.
At $1,670 a month, rents run 18% over what the rest of Denton commands. It sits 0.9 points above the Denton County average of 3.8.
That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.8 points hotter.
Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $83,198. 45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121020604
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121020604?
Census tract 48121020604 in Denton scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121020604?
Median gross rent is $1,670/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121020604?
10.0% of residents in tract 48121020604 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,317.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121020604?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 36th, minority 65th, housing 44th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 48121020604 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.50× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q6
How does tract 48121020604 compare to Denton overall?
Tract 48121020604 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Denton at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Denton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Denton
Top eight tracts in Denton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121021203
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121021204
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121021304
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020507
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020508
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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