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Census Tract · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally

Seguin Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 48187210902 · Guadalupe, TX · pop 5,346 · 44% of tract blocks fall in Seguin

With a score of 4.7/10, tract 48187210902 in Seguin, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,346 residents. At $1,726 a month, rents run 45% over what the rest of Seguin commands.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 13% Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units2,135
Renter share21.5%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate17.9%
Median income$90,947

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 10 tracts In Seguin
Moderate
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 41 tracts In Guadalupe
High
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#1,569 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
High
National
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#37,882 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Seguin and the region

Centroid at 29.5664, -97.8925 · click any tract to drill in

Why Seguin scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Seguin
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
17.9% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$1,726 rent vs county FMR
6.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Seguin
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Seguin
7.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Seguin
5.8

How Seguin compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Seguin risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.7This tracttract 2109023.6Seguinparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 64

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 5Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 2.32%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.3%Peak (2004)
  • 5Filings in 2004 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Seguin

Severe burden reaches 30%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1/10.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Against the Guadalupe County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.2/10. The filing record is not thin: 5 evictions over 1 years of observation. The voucher gap is 15.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Against Guadalupe County at 33.5%, 38% of renters here are cost-burdened. The worst year on record was 2004, when 2.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 2.3% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #37,882 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 22% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Social vulnerability reads 6.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.8 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48187210902

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48187210902?

Census tract 48187210902 in Seguin scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48187210902?

Median gross rent is $1,726/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48187210902?

17.9% of residents in tract 48187210902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,346.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48187210902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 65th, minority 63th, housing 72th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48187210902?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 5 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 48187210902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.32% of renter households, peaking at 2.3% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 48187210902 compare to Seguin overall?

Tract 48187210902 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Seguin at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seguin; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Seguin

Top eight tracts in Seguin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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