Census Tract · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally

Seguin Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 48187210805 · Guadalupe, TX · pop 2,448 · 54% of tract blocks fall in Seguin

With a score of 4.9/10, tract 48187210805 in Seguin in Guadalupe County ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,448 residents. It lands near the 34th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

71% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 47% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $65,962 a year. Renters make up 20% of occupied homes.

Risk score

4.3

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 6% Owners 80%

Tract context

Occupied units1,102

Renter share20.0%

SVI overall0.74

Poverty rate13.8%

Median income$65,962

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Seguin and the region

Centroid at 29.5182, -97.9916 · click any tract to drill in

Why Seguin scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Seguin

4.4

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

3.8

State political climate

Texas legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

13.8% poverty · this tract

3.4

Supply constraint

tract rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Seguin

4.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Seguin

7.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from Seguin

5.8

How Seguin compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 74

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

55%Socioeconomic
77%Household composition
66%Racial/ethnic minority
81%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Seguin

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Seguin, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Guadalupe County average of 4.2 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48187210805

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48187210805?

Census tract 48187210805 in Seguin scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the poverty rate in tract 48187210805?

13.8% of residents in tract 48187210805 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,448.

How socially vulnerable is tract 48187210805?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 77th, minority 66th, housing 81th.

How does tract 48187210805 compare to Seguin overall?

Tract 48187210805 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Seguin at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seguin; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Seguin

Top eight tracts in Seguin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.