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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Brandon Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Arlington

Tract 51013101300 · Arlington County, VA · pop 7,269 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 51013101300 covers part of the Brandon Village area of Arlington, VA, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 7,269. Cost burden runs 61% here against 38.9% across Arlington County.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 9% Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units2,567
Renter share24.2%
SVI overall0.14
Poverty rate4.6%
Median income$191,050

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Brandon Village
Very Low
Within parent city
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#54 of 71 tracts In Arlington
Low
Within county
23 th percentile
Rank, 23rd percentileLowHigh
#55 of 71 tracts In Arlington County
Low
Within state
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#302 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Arlington and the region

Centroid at 38.8738, -77.1228 · click any tract to drill in

Why Brandon Village scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Arlington
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
4.6% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$3,500 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arlington
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arlington
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arlington
6.0

How Brandon Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Brandon Village risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 101300Arlington: 6.06.0Arlingtonparent cityCounty: 5.95.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 14

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 8Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 2.41%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.4%Peak (2016)
  • 8Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Brandon Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Brandon Village

The severe-burden share is 35%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10. At $3,500 a month, rents run 51% over what the rest of Arlington commands.

The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.1/10.

On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Food insecurity runs 4.7% against 17.8% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 5.0% against 14.2% nationally.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 8 filings here across 1 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2016 at 2.4% of renter households. In a typical year about 2.4% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 24% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51013101300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51013101300?

Census tract 51013101300 in the Brandon Village neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51013101300?

Median gross rent is $3,500/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51013101300?

4.6% of residents in tract 51013101300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,269.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51013101300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 29th, minority 42th, housing 35th.
Q5

Is tract 51013101300 considered part of Brandon Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51013101300 fall within Brandon Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51013101300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 8 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51013101300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.41% of renter households, peaking at 2.4% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51013101300 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51013101300 compare to Arlington overall?

Tract 51013101300 scores 5.4/10, lower than the parent city of Arlington at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Arlington

Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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