Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally

Brandon Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Arlington

Tract 51013101408 · Arlington County, VA · pop 695 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Tract 51013101408 sits in the Brandon Village area of Arlington eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.5/10. It is home to 695 residents. 100% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Risk score

5.5

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 73% Owners 0%

Tract context

Occupied units607

Renter share100.0%

SVI overall0.03

Poverty rate0.0%

Median income$162,697

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Arlington and the region

Centroid at 38.8789, -77.1101 · click any tract to drill in

Why Brandon Village scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Arlington

8.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.2

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

0.0% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$2,520 rent vs county FMR

5.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Arlington

4.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Arlington

7.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Arlington

6.0

How Brandon Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 3

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

19%Socioeconomic
0%Household composition
28%Racial/ethnic minority
35%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Brandon Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

5.5%Housing insecurity
3.2%Utility-shutoff threat
4.8%Food insecurity
2.7%SNAP enrollment
4.0%Transit barriers
5.0%No health insurance
14.7%Frequent mental distress
15.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Brandon Village

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. Against Arlington County at 38.9%, 27% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10.

On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.2/10. Food insecurity runs 4.8% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 2.7% against 15.2% nationally.

At $2,520 a month, rents run 9% over what the rest of Arlington commands. That is riskier than roughly 72% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 1.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

It tracks the Arlington County average of 5.9 closely.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51013101408

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51013101408?

Census tract 51013101408 in the Brandon Village neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51013101408?

Median gross rent is $2,520/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51013101408?

0.0% of residents in tract 51013101408 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 695.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51013101408?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 0th, minority 28th, housing 35th.

Is tract 51013101408 considered part of Brandon Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51013101408 fall within Brandon Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 51013101408 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51013101408 compare to Arlington overall?

Tract 51013101408 scores 5.5/10, lower than the parent city of Arlington at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Arlington

Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.