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Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally

Brandon Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Arlington

Tract 51013101401 · Arlington County, VA · pop 1,635 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Tract 51013101401 sits in the Brandon Village area of Arlington eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.8/10. Population here is 1,635. Against Arlington County at 38.9%, 27% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 54% Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units932
Renter share74.0%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate7.4%
Median income$131,304

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Brandon Village
Very High
Within parent city
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#33 of 71 tracts In Arlington
Moderate
Within county
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#32 of 71 tracts In Arlington County
Elevated
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#170 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Arlington and the region

Centroid at 38.8817, -77.1181 · click any tract to drill in

Why Brandon Village scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Arlington
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
7.4% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$2,294 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arlington
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arlington
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arlington
6.0

How Brandon Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Brandon Village risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.85.8This tracttract 101401Arlington: 6.06.0Arlingtonparent cityCounty: 5.95.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 16

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 10Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 1.71%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.7%Peak (2016)
  • 10Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Brandon Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Brandon Village

The dominant input is local political climate at 8.5/10. 74% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.8/10.

Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.2/10. Severe burden reaches 17%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Food insecurity runs 6.7% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 4.1% against 15.2% nationally. Court records carry 10 eviction filings across 1 observed years.

The worst year on record was 2016, when 1.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 1.7% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 76th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 2.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51013101401

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51013101401?

Census tract 51013101401 in the Brandon Village neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51013101401?

Median gross rent is $2,294/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51013101401?

7.4% of residents in tract 51013101401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,635.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51013101401?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 6th, minority 64th, housing 50th.
Q5

Is tract 51013101401 considered part of Brandon Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51013101401 fall within Brandon Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51013101401?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 10 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51013101401 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.71% of renter households, peaking at 1.7% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51013101401 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51013101401 compare to Arlington overall?

Tract 51013101401 scores 5.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Arlington at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Arlington

Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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