Virginia Square Eviction Risk: Moderate , Arlington
Tract 51013102002 · Arlington County, VA · pop 1,292 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 51013102002 covers part of the Virginia Square area of Arlington, VA, and scores 5.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,292. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.1/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Arlington and the region
Centroid at 38.8789, -77.1049 · click any tract to drill in
Why Virginia Square scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Virginia Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 58
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 45%Socioeconomic
- 21%Household composition
- 66%Racial/ethnic minority
- 86%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 29Total filings over 1 yrs
- 5.60%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.6%Peak (2016)
- 29Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Virginia Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.7%Housing insecurity
- 4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.1%Food insecurity
- 5.3%SNAP enrollment
- 5.5%Transit barriers
- 7.4%No health insurance
- 14.8%Frequent mental distress
- 19.7%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Virginia Square
This is renter territory: 78% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.2/10. The severe-burden share is 13%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
SNAP participation runs 5.3% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 8.1% against 17.8% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 29 filings here across 1 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2016 at 5.6% of renter households. In a typical year about 5.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 72% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. 36% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
About tract 51013102002
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51013102002?
What is the average rent in tract 51013102002?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51013102002?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51013102002?
Is tract 51013102002 considered part of Virginia Square?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51013102002?
What share of households in tract 51013102002 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51013102002 compare to Arlington overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Arlington
Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.