Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally

National Landing Eviction Risk: Moderate , Arlington

Tract 51013103404 · Arlington County, VA · pop 1,284 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 51013103404 sits in the National Landing area of Arlington eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.8/10. about a quarter of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Arlington County average of 38.9%.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 57% Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units869
Renter share74.5%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate5.1%
Median income$122,264

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 5 tracts In National Landing
Moderate
Within parent city
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#33 of 71 tracts In Arlington
Moderate
Within county
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#33 of 71 tracts In Arlington County
Moderate
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#170 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Arlington and the region

Centroid at 38.8632, -77.0477 · click any tract to drill in

Why National Landing scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Arlington
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.1% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$2,659 rent vs county FMR
6.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arlington
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arlington
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arlington
6.0

How National Landing compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
National Landing risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.85.8This tracttract 103404Arlington: 6.06.0Arlingtonparent cityCounty: 5.95.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 11

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within National Landing. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in National Landing

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.3/10. This is renter territory: 74% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.2/10.

Housing insecurity runs 5.8% against 14.2% nationally. The voucher gap is 14.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Average gross rent is $2,659, 15% above the Arlington average.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Nationally it ranks #20,506 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Arlington County average of 5.9 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 51013103404

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51013103404?

Census tract 51013103404 in the National Landing neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51013103404?

Median gross rent is $2,659/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51013103404?

5.1% of residents in tract 51013103404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,284.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51013103404?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 8th, minority 71th, housing 47th.
Q5

Is tract 51013103404 considered part of National Landing?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51013103404 fall within National Landing (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51013103404 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51013103404 compare to Arlington overall?

Tract 51013103404 scores 5.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Arlington at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Arlington

Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related