National Landing Eviction Risk: Moderate , Arlington
Tract 51013103404 · Arlington County, VA · pop 1,284 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 51013103404 sits in the National Landing area of Arlington eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.8/10. about a quarter of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Arlington County average of 38.9%.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Arlington and the region
Centroid at 38.8632, -77.0477 · click any tract to drill in
Why National Landing scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow National Landing compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 11
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 1%Socioeconomic
- 8%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 47%Housing & transportation
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within National Landing. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.8%Housing insecurity
- 3.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.5%Food insecurity
- 3.5%SNAP enrollment
- 4.1%Transit barriers
- 4.8%No health insurance
- 12.9%Frequent mental distress
- 18.7%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in National Landing
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.3/10. This is renter territory: 74% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.2/10.
Housing insecurity runs 5.8% against 14.2% nationally. The voucher gap is 14.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Average gross rent is $2,659, 15% above the Arlington average.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Nationally it ranks #20,506 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Arlington County average of 5.9 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
About tract 51013103404
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51013103404?
What is the average rent in tract 51013103404?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51013103404?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51013103404?
Is tract 51013103404 considered part of National Landing?
What share of households in tract 51013103404 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51013103404 compare to Arlington overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Arlington
Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.