National Landing Eviction Risk: Moderate , Arlington

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.1/10. Disability prevalence runs 15.0% against 31.5% nationally.

Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.2/10.

16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The voucher gap is 20.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Average gross rent is $2,776, 20% above the Arlington average.

Against Arlington County at 38.9%, 33% of renters here are cost-burdened. Housing insecurity runs 6.4% against 14.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Arlington County average of 5.9 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.