Neighborhood · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally

National Landing Eviction Risk: Elevated , Arlington

Tract 51013103503 · Arlington County, VA · pop 4,754 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 6.6/10, tract 51013103503 in the National Landing area of Arlington, VA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,754. This is renter territory: 96% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Risk score

6.6

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 57% Owners 5%

Tract context

Occupied units2,604

Renter share95.9%

SVI overall0.23

Poverty rate9.3%

Median income$107,188

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Arlington and the region

Centroid at 38.8607, -77.0534 · click any tract to drill in

Why National Landing scores 6.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Arlington

8.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.2

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

9.3% poverty · this tract

2.3

Supply constraint

$2,328 rent vs county FMR

5.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Arlington

4.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Arlington

7.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Arlington

6.0

How National Landing compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 23

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

22%Socioeconomic
2%Household composition
68%Racial/ethnic minority
69%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

44Total filings over 1 yrs
1.89%Avg annual filing rate
1.9%Peak (2016)
44Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within National Landing. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.0%Housing insecurity
4.4%Utility-shutoff threat
6.8%Food insecurity
4.4%SNAP enrollment
5.0%Transit barriers
5.3%No health insurance
14.2%Frequent mental distress
17.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in National Landing

The dominant input is local political climate at 8.5/10. Severe burden reaches 21%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.2/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.3/10. Food insecurity runs 6.8% against 17.8% nationally.

SNAP participation runs 4.4% against 15.2% nationally. Court records carry 44 eviction filings across 1 observed years. It sits 0.7 points above the Arlington County average of 5.9.

Filings peaked in 2016 at 1.9% of renter households. In a typical year about 1.9% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 51013103503

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51013103503?

Census tract 51013103503 in the National Landing neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51013103503?

Median gross rent is $2,328/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51013103503?

9.3% of residents in tract 51013103503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,754.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51013103503?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 2th, minority 68th, housing 69th.

Is tract 51013103503 considered part of National Landing?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51013103503 fall within National Landing (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51013103503?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 44 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51013103503 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.89% of renter households, peaking at 1.9% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 51013103503 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51013103503 compare to Arlington overall?

Tract 51013103503 scores 6.6/10, higher than the parent city of Arlington at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Arlington

Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org