Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally

National Landing Eviction Risk: Moderate , Arlington

Tract 51013103405 · Arlington County, VA · pop 3,852 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

51013103405 is a census tract in the National Landing area of Arlington, VA. It scores 5.5/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,852. about a quarter of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Arlington County average of 38.9%.

Risk score

5.5

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 66% Owners 13%

Tract context

Occupied units2,183

Renter share86.5%

SVI overall0.11

Poverty rate5.0%

Median income$175,156

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Arlington and the region

Centroid at 38.8558, -77.0510 · click any tract to drill in

Why National Landing scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Arlington

8.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.2

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

5.0% poverty · this tract

1.2

Supply constraint

$2,815 rent vs county FMR

7.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Arlington

4.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Arlington

7.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Arlington

6.0

How National Landing compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 11

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

6%Socioeconomic
1%Household composition
72%Racial/ethnic minority
59%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within National Landing. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

5.7%Housing insecurity
3.5%Utility-shutoff threat
5.4%Food insecurity
3.2%SNAP enrollment
4.0%Transit barriers
4.7%No health insurance
12.7%Frequent mental distress
16.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in National Landing

This is renter territory: 86% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.2/10.

Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.2/10.

The voucher gap is 21.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Food insecurity runs 5.4% against 17.8% nationally.

SNAP participation runs 3.2% against 15.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $2,815, 21% above the Arlington average.

Nationally it ranks #23,808 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51013103405

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51013103405?

Census tract 51013103405 in the National Landing neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51013103405?

Median gross rent is $2,815/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51013103405?

5.0% of residents in tract 51013103405 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,852.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51013103405?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 1th, minority 72th, housing 59th.

Is tract 51013103405 considered part of National Landing?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51013103405 fall within National Landing (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 51013103405 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51013103405 compare to Arlington overall?

Tract 51013103405 scores 5.5/10, lower than the parent city of Arlington at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Arlington

Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.