Within parent city
13
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally
Leesburg Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 51107610602 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 2,783 · 51% of tract blocks fall in Leesburg
51107610602 is a census tract in Leesburg, VA. It scores 4/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,783. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%
Stable renters 2%
Owners 98%
Tract context
Occupied units826
Renter share2.2%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate1.4%
Median income$250,001
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
53
th percentile
Moderate
National
42
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Leesburg and the region
Centroid at 39.0747, -77.5795 · click any tract to drill in
Why Leesburg scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Leesburg
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Leesburg
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Leesburg
6.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Leesburg
5.4
How Leesburg compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 1
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 1%Socioeconomic
- 20%Household composition
- 55%Racial/ethnic minority
- 1%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1Total filings over 1 yrs
- 3.23%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.2%Peak (2016)
- 1Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.6%Housing insecurity
- 3.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.7%Food insecurity
- 3.4%SNAP enrollment
- 3.9%Transit barriers
- 4.6%No health insurance
- 12.9%Frequent mental distress
- 19.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Leesburg
Disability prevalence runs 19.2% against 31.5% nationally. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.3/10.
Housing insecurity runs 5.6% against 14.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 1 evictions over 1 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2016 at 3.2% of renter households.
In a typical year about 3.2% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 42nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 2% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51107610602
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107610602?
Census tract 51107610602 in Leesburg scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 51107610602?
1.4% of residents in tract 51107610602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,783.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 51107610602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 20th, minority 55th, housing 1th.
Q4
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107610602?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51107610602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.23% of renter households, peaking at 3.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q5
What share of households in tract 51107610602 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 51107610602 compare to Leesburg overall?
Tract 51107610602 scores 4/10, lower than the parent city of Leesburg at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Leesburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Leesburg
Top eight tracts in Leesburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Stratford
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Stratford
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Village at Leesburg
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
51107610601
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
51107610504
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
51107610400
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Kincaid Forest
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
51107610503
4
/ 10 · Moderate
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