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Census Tract · Ranked #63,834 of 84,120 nationally

Leesburg Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 51107610602 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 2,783 · 51% of tract blocks fall in Leesburg

Census tract 51107610602 is in Leesburg, Virginia. It has a population of 2,783 and an eviction-risk score of 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). 0% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 0% severely cost-burdened (≥50%).

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 2% Owners 98%
Tract context
Occupied units826
Renter share2.2%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate1.4%
Median income$250,001

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank — 0th percentileBottomTop
#9 of 9 tracts In Leesburg
Very Low
Within county
11 th percentile
Rank — 11th percentileBottomTop
#67 of 75 tracts In Loudoun County
Very Low
Within state
19 th percentile
Rank — 19th percentileBottomTop
#1,777 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very Low
National
24 th percentile
Rank — 24th percentileBottomTop
#63,834 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Leesburg and the region

Centroid at 39.0747, -77.5795 · click any tract to drill in

Why Leesburg scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Leesburg
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Leesburg
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Leesburg
6.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Leesburg
5.4

How Leesburg compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Leesburg risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.54.5This tracttract 610602Leesburg: 5.85.8Leesburgparent cityCounty: 5.25.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.35.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 1

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 3.23%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.2%Peak (2016)
  • 1Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Frequently asked

About tract 51107610602

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107610602?

Census tract 51107610602 in Leesburg scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 51107610602?

1.4% of residents in tract 51107610602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,783.

Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 51107610602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 20th, minority 55th, housing 1th.

Q4

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107610602?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51107610602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.23% of renter households, peaking at 3.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q5

What share of households in tract 51107610602 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q6

How does tract 51107610602 compare to Leesburg overall?

Tract 51107610602 scores 4.5/10 — lower than the parent city of Leesburg at 5.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Leesburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Leesburg

Top eight tracts in Leesburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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