Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally
Marumsco Village Eviction Risk: Elevated , Woodbridge
Tract 51153900201 · Prince William County, VA · pop 2,441 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 51153900201 covers part of the Marumsco Village area of Woodbridge, VA, and scores 7.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,441. Against the Prince William County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 3.1 points.
Risk score
7.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units1,091
Renter share51.2%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate13.1%
Median income$89,688
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
97
th percentile
Very High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Woodbridge and the region
Centroid at 38.6642, -77.2519 · click any tract to drill in
Why Marumsco Village scores 7.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Woodbridge
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
13.1% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,993 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Woodbridge
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Woodbridge
8.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Woodbridge
5.5
How Marumsco Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 82%Socioeconomic
- 74%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 52%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 7Total filings over 1 yrs
- 2.82%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.8%Peak (2016)
- 7Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Marumsco Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.7%Housing insecurity
- 11.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 21.4%Food insecurity
- 17.0%SNAP enrollment
- 11.1%Transit barriers
- 15.3%No health insurance
- 17.7%Frequent mental distress
- 32.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Marumsco Village
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.1/10. Cost burden runs 57% here against 43.3% across Prince William County. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.4/10.
12% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running hot, local political climate reads 7.4/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 7 filings here across 1 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2016 at 2.8% of renter households. In a typical year about 2.8% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #11,988 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 8.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 3.0 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
Average gross rent is $1,993, close to the Woodbridge average.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51153900201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51153900201?
Census tract 51153900201 in the Marumsco Village neighborhood scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51153900201?
Median gross rent is $1,993/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51153900201?
13.1% of residents in tract 51153900201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,441.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51153900201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 74th, minority 83th, housing 52th.
Q5
Is tract 51153900201 considered part of Marumsco Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51153900201 fall within Marumsco Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51153900201?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 7 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51153900201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.82% of renter households, peaking at 2.8% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51153900201 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51153900201 compare to Woodbridge overall?
Tract 51153900201 scores 7.2/10, higher than the parent city of Woodbridge at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Woodbridge eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Woodbridge
Top eight tracts in Woodbridge ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Marumsco Hills
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Featherstone Shores
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Jefferson Plaza
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Jefferson Plaza
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Potomac Town Center
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Featherstone Shores
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Marumsco Village
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Marumsco Hills
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
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