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Neighborhood · Ranked #69,776 of 84,120 nationally

Daleview Manor Eviction Risk: Lower , Dale City

Tract 51153901203 · Prince William County, VA · pop 3,536 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 51153901203 runs through the Daleview Manor neighborhood of Dale City. With 3,536 residents, it scores 4.7/10 for landlords. That is riskier than about 27% of US census tracts.

About 23% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,217 a month against an average household income of $106,234 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 16% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 12% Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,363
Renter share15.9%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate6.7%
Median income$106,234

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Daleview Manor
Moderate
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 13 tracts In Dale City
High
Within county
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#26 of 93 tracts In Prince William County
Elevated
Within state
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#1,297 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dale City and the region

Centroid at 38.6527, -77.3343 · click any tract to drill in

Why Daleview Manor scores 2.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dale City
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
6.7% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$2,217 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dale City
1.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dale City
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dale City
2.2

How Daleview Manor compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Daleview Manor risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.32.3This tracttract 901203Dale City: 3.73.7Dale Cityparent cityCounty: 1.91.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 64

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 8Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 4.06%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.1%Peak (2016)
  • 8Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Daleview Manor

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 4.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dale City eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Prince William County average of 5.7 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 64th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 8 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 4.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.1% of renter households in 2016.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51153901203

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51153901203?

Census tract 51153901203 in the Daleview Manor neighborhood scores 2.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51153901203?

Median gross rent is $2,217/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51153901203?

6.7% of residents in tract 51153901203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,536.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51153901203?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 52th, minority 77th, housing 46th.
Q5

Is tract 51153901203 considered part of Daleview Manor?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51153901203 fall within Daleview Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51153901203?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 8 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51153901203 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.06% of renter households, peaking at 4.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51153901203 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51153901203 compare to Dale City overall?

Tract 51153901203 scores 2.3/10, lower than the parent city of Dale City at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dale City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dale City

Top eight tracts in Dale City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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