Ridgedale Eviction Risk: Lower , Dale City
Tract 51153901229 · Prince William County, VA · pop 4,766 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 51153901229 covers the Ridgedale neighborhood of Dale City in Virginia. Home to 4,766 residents, it scores 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 40th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 41% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,122 a month while the average household earns $125,642 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 15% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Dale City and the region
Centroid at 38.6499, -77.3839 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ridgedale scores 1.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Ridgedale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 30%Socioeconomic
- 28%Household composition
- 79%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 6Total filings over 1 yrs
- 7.41%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.4%Peak (2016)
- 6Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.0%Housing insecurity
- 7.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.6%Food insecurity
- 10.0%SNAP enrollment
- 7.9%Transit barriers
- 10.4%No health insurance
- 15.7%Frequent mental distress
- 28.1%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Ridgedale
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 4.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dale City eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Prince William County average of 5.7 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 18th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 13.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 51153901229
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51153901229?
What is the average rent in tract 51153901229?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51153901229?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51153901229?
Is tract 51153901229 considered part of Ridgedale?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51153901229?
What share of households in tract 51153901229 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51153901229 compare to Dale City overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Dale City
Top eight tracts in Dale City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.