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Neighborhood · Dale City, VA

Ridgedale Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,766 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Ridgedale is a one-tract neighborhood of Dale City, VA, population 4,766. The Eviction Risk Score is 3/10, in the Lower tier. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1/10.

Against a Dale City baseline of 32.6%, 41% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.7/10.

Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 2/10. Court records for this tract carry 6 eviction filings. At $2,122 a month, rents sit 13% over what the rest of Dale City commands.

Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 7.4% of renter households. Among the 12 mapped neighborhoods of Dale City, it ranks #9 by risk, the lower third. Judgments average 2.5% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

At 15% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. The closest comparables inside the same city are Queensdale and Mapledale.

Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $125,642.

One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Ridgedale vs Dale City How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
40.8% +25%
Dale City: 32.6%
Average gross rent
$2,122 +13%
Dale City: $1,876
Average HH income
$125,642 +6%
Dale City: $118,975
Poverty rate
3.6% -46%
Dale City: 6.7%
Renter share
14.7% -29%
Dale City: 20.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Ridgedale and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why Ridgedale scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Rent control risk
41% of income on rent · Range 1.7–1.7 across tracts
1.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
15% renter households · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Economic stress
3.6% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Risk score comparison

Ridgedale vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Ridgedale score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.0RidgedaleNeighborhood3.4Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Ridgedale

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51153901229 3 4,766 41% $2,122
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 18

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 30%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 28%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 79%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 5%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Ridgedale

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 6Total filings (sum)
  • 7.41%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.4%Peak year (2016)
  • 7.41%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Ridgedale

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Ridgedale

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Ridgedale?

Ridgedale scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Ridgedale compare to Dale City overall?

Ridgedale scores 0.4 points lower than Dale City overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $2,122 vs $1,876.
Q3

What is the average rent in Ridgedale?

Average gross rent in Ridgedale is $2,122/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Ridgedale residents are renters?

15% of Ridgedale households are renter-occupied (vs 21% in Dale City). The neighborhood has 4,766 residents.
Q5

Is Ridgedale a high social-vulnerability area?

Ridgedale sits in the 18th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Ridgedale for landlords?

Ridgedale carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Dale City as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Ridgedale?

Ridgedale has 4,706 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (29.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (28.9%), Hispanic / Latino (25.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Ridgedale

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Dale City

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Ridgedale.

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