Wakefield Eviction Risk: Moderate , Alexandria
Tract 51510200404 · Alexandria city, VA · pop 4,057 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 51510200404 covers part of the Wakefield area of Alexandria, VA, and scores 4.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,057. The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Alexandria and the region
Centroid at 38.8083, -77.1197 · click any tract to drill in
Why Wakefield scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Wakefield compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 4
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 4%Socioeconomic
- 2%Household composition
- 43%Racial/ethnic minority
- 32%Housing & transportation
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.0%Housing insecurity
- 3.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 4.6%Food insecurity
- 3.0%SNAP enrollment
- 3.4%Transit barriers
- 3.8%No health insurance
- 11.8%Frequent mental distress
- 18.4%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Wakefield
At $3,501 a month, rents run 68% over what the rest of Alexandria commands. The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.
Against the Alexandria City average of 5.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points. Housing insecurity runs 5.0% against 14.2% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 20% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.4/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. 44% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $188,468.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 51510200404
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51510200404?
What is the average rent in tract 51510200404?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51510200404?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51510200404?
Is tract 51510200404 considered part of Wakefield?
What share of households in tract 51510200404 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51510200404 compare to Alexandria overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Alexandria
Top eight tracts in Alexandria ranked by composite eviction-risk score.