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Neighborhood · Ranked #71,178 of 84,120 nationally

Bayberry Place Eviction Risk: Lower , Chesapeake

Tract 51550020812 · Chesapeake city, VA · pop 2,078 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 4.5/10, tract 51550020812 in the Bayberry Place neighborhood of Chesapeake ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,078 residents. That is riskier than roughly 22% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

69% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,733 a month against an average household income of $84,342 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 52% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
2.2
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36% Stable renters 16% Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units934
Renter share51.6%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate5.3%
Median income$84,342

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Bayberry Place
Very Low
Within parent city
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#32 of 61 tracts In Chesapeake
Moderate
Within county
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#34 of 61 tracts In Chesapeake city
Moderate
Within state
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#1,336 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chesapeake and the region

Centroid at 36.7814, -76.2222 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bayberry Place scores 2.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.3% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,733 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesapeake
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5

How Bayberry Place compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bayberry Place risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.22.2This tracttract 020812Chesapeake: 3.63.6Chesapeakeparent cityCounty: 2.32.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 39

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bayberry Place. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bayberry Place

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 5.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Chesapeake City County average of 4.3 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 39th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51550020812

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51550020812?

Census tract 51550020812 in the Bayberry Place neighborhood scores 2.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51550020812?

Median gross rent is $1,733/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51550020812?

5.3% of residents in tract 51550020812 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,078.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51550020812?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 22th, minority 49th, housing 31th.
Q5

Is tract 51550020812 considered part of Bayberry Place?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51550020812 fall within Bayberry Place (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51550020812 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51550020812 compare to Chesapeake overall?

Tract 51550020812 scores 2.2/10, lower than the parent city of Chesapeake at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chesapeake

Top eight tracts in Chesapeake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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