Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Bayberry Place Eviction Risk: Lower , Chesapeake
Tract 51550020812 · Chesapeake city, VA · pop 2,078 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 51550020812 covers part of the Bayberry Place area of Chesapeake, VA, and scores 3.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,078 residents. 69% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Chesapeake City average of 49.2%.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units934
Renter share51.6%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate5.3%
Median income$84,342
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
52
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
47
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chesapeake and the region
Centroid at 36.7814, -76.2222 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bayberry Place scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.3% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,733 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesapeake
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
How Bayberry Place compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 39
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 55%Socioeconomic
- 22%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 31%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bayberry Place. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.7%Housing insecurity
- 7.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.5%Food insecurity
- 8.8%SNAP enrollment
- 7.0%Transit barriers
- 7.0%No health insurance
- 16.4%Frequent mental distress
- 26.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bayberry Place
The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.3/10.
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10.
Average gross rent is $1,733, 9% above the Chesapeake average. That is riskier than roughly 29% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 0.8 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Chesapeake City average of 3.6 closely. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $84,342.
52% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51550020812
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51550020812?
Census tract 51550020812 in the Bayberry Place neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51550020812?
Median gross rent is $1,733/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51550020812?
5.3% of residents in tract 51550020812 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,078.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51550020812?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 22th, minority 49th, housing 31th.
Q5
Is tract 51550020812 considered part of Bayberry Place?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51550020812 fall within Bayberry Place (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51550020812 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51550020812 compare to Chesapeake overall?
Tract 51550020812 scores 3.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Chesapeake at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chesapeake
Top eight tracts in Chesapeake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Parkwood
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Oak Grove
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Broadmoor
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Norfolk Highlands
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Crystal Lake
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Campostella Square
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Cloverdale
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Sandy Pines
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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