Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally
Bayberry Place Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chesapeake
Tract 51550020814 · Chesapeake city, VA · pop 4,083 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
With a score of 4.4/10, tract 51550020814 in the Bayberry Place area of Chesapeake, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 28%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,723
Renter share36.0%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate14.9%
Median income$83,229
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Within county
83
th percentile
High
Within state
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chesapeake and the region
Centroid at 36.7719, -76.2200 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bayberry Place scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
14.9% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,926 rent vs county FMR
6.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesapeake
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
How Bayberry Place compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 44
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 52%Socioeconomic
- 47%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 25%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bayberry Place. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.5%Housing insecurity
- 7.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.1%Food insecurity
- 11.7%SNAP enrollment
- 7.8%Transit barriers
- 8.3%No health insurance
- 16.2%Frequent mental distress
- 31.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bayberry Place
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,926, 21% above the Chesapeake average. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10.
Against the Chesapeake City average of 3.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points. The voucher gap is 13.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. That is riskier than roughly 49% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Chesapeake rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.9/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
46% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $83,229. 36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51550020814
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51550020814?
Census tract 51550020814 in the Bayberry Place neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51550020814?
Median gross rent is $1,926/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51550020814?
14.9% of residents in tract 51550020814 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,083.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51550020814?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 47th, minority 62th, housing 25th.
Q5
Is tract 51550020814 considered part of Bayberry Place?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51550020814 fall within Bayberry Place (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51550020814 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51550020814 compare to Chesapeake overall?
Tract 51550020814 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Chesapeake at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chesapeake
Top eight tracts in Chesapeake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Parkwood
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Oak Grove
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Broadmoor
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Crystal Lake
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Norfolk Highlands
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Campostella Square
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Cloverdale
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Sandy Pines
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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