Neighborhood · Ranked #61,757 of 84,120 nationally

Bayberry Place Eviction Risk: Lower , Chesapeake

Tract 51550020813 · Chesapeake city, VA · pop 2,265 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Here is how census tract 51550020813, in the Bayberry Place neighborhood of Chesapeake eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 4.6/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 2,265. That is riskier than about 24% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 63% of renter households, a severe level, and 36% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,858 a month while the average household earns $55,494 a year, roughly 40% of income at the averages. About 91% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

2.8

Lower

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 57% Stable renters 34% Owners 9%

Tract context

Occupied units1,361

Renter share91.3%

SVI overall0.55

Poverty rate7.4%

Median income$55,494

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chesapeake and the region

Centroid at 36.7834, -76.2264 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bayberry Place scores 2.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Chesapeake

3.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.3

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

7.4% poverty · this tract

1.9

Supply constraint

$1,858 rent vs county FMR

6.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Chesapeake

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Chesapeake

3.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Chesapeake

3.5

How Bayberry Place compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 55

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

73%Socioeconomic
24%Household composition
61%Racial/ethnic minority
40%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bayberry Place. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

16.2%Housing insecurity
11.4%Utility-shutoff threat
19.6%Food insecurity
17.7%SNAP enrollment
11.3%Transit barriers
10.6%No health insurance
19.4%Frequent mental distress
34.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bayberry Place

What moves this score most is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Chesapeake City County average of 4.3 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 16.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51550020813

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51550020813?

Census tract 51550020813 in the Bayberry Place neighborhood scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51550020813?

Median gross rent is $1,858/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51550020813?

7.4% of residents in tract 51550020813 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,265.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51550020813?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 24th, minority 61th, housing 40th.

Is tract 51550020813 considered part of Bayberry Place?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51550020813 fall within Bayberry Place (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 51550020813 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51550020813 compare to Chesapeake overall?

Tract 51550020813 scores 2.8/10, lower than the parent city of Chesapeake at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chesapeake

Top eight tracts in Chesapeake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.