Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #54,934 of 84,120 nationally
Peakland Eviction Risk: Lower , Lynchburg
Tract 51680000100 · Lynchburg city, VA · pop 4,216 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Here is how census tract 51680000100, in Peakland in Lynchburg eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 5.1/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 4,216. That is riskier than about 40% of US census tracts.
45% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,127 a month while the average household earns $87,727 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 35% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,674
Renter share34.6%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate5.3%
Median income$87,727
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
5
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
5
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lynchburg and the region
Centroid at 37.4485, -79.1987 · click any tract to drill in
Why Peakland scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lynchburg
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.3% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,127 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lynchburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lynchburg
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lynchburg
3.5
How Peakland compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 40
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 13%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 27%Racial/ethnic minority
- 62%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 2%Grade A
- 5%Grade B
- 1%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 281Total filings over 4 yrs
- 10.12%Avg annual filing rate
- 18.3%Peak (2013)
- 51Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 60% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.7%Housing insecurity
- 3.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.3%Food insecurity
- 4.6%SNAP enrollment
- 4.6%Transit barriers
- 5.1%No health insurance
- 13.9%Frequent mental distress
- 27.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Peakland
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 4.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lynchburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Lynchburg City County average of 5.4 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 5.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51680000100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51680000100?
Census tract 51680000100 in the Peakland neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51680000100?
Median gross rent is $1,127/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51680000100?
5.3% of residents in tract 51680000100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,216.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51680000100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 80th, minority 27th, housing 62th.
Q5
Is tract 51680000100 considered part of Peakland?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51680000100 fall within Peakland (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51680000100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 281 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51680000100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.12% of renter households, peaking at 18.3% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51680000100 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51680000100 compare to Lynchburg overall?
Tract 51680000100 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Lynchburg at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lynchburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51680000100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lynchburg
Top eight tracts in Lynchburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Tinbridge Hill
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Diamond Hill
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Woodbine Village
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
College Park
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Miller Park
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Westend
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Winston Ridge
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Cornerstone
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Related