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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Peakland Eviction Risk: Lower , Lynchburg

Tract 51680000100 · Lynchburg city, VA · pop 4,216 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

51680000100 is a census tract in the Peakland area of Lynchburg, VA. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,216 residents. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.1/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 19% Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,674
Renter share34.6%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate5.3%
Median income$87,727

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Peakland
Moderate
Within parent city
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 23 tracts In Lynchburg
Very Low
Within county
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#23 of 23 tracts In Lynchburg city
Very Low
Within state
18 th percentile
Rank, 18th percentileLowHigh
#1,798 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lynchburg and the region

Centroid at 37.4485, -79.1987 · click any tract to drill in

Why Peakland scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lynchburg
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.3% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,127 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lynchburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lynchburg
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lynchburg
3.5

How Peakland compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Peakland risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0001003.9Lynchburgparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 40

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 281Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 10.12%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.3%Peak (2013)
  • 51Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 51680000100
Filings dropped 60% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Peakland

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.3/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Food insecurity runs 6.3% against 17.8% nationally.

Against the Lynchburg City average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points. Housing insecurity runs 5.7% against 14.2% nationally.

Court records carry 281 eviction filings across 4 observed years. The worst year on record was 2013, when 18.3% of renter households were served.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 10.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 4.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $87,727, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51680000100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51680000100?

Census tract 51680000100 in the Peakland neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51680000100?

Median gross rent is $1,127/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51680000100?

5.3% of residents in tract 51680000100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,216.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51680000100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 80th, minority 27th, housing 62th.
Q5

Is tract 51680000100 considered part of Peakland?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51680000100 fall within Peakland (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51680000100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 281 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51680000100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.12% of renter households, peaking at 18.3% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51680000100 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51680000100 compare to Lynchburg overall?

Tract 51680000100 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Lynchburg at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lynchburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 51680000100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lynchburg

Top eight tracts in Lynchburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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