Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Green Run Eviction Risk: Moderate , Virginia Beach
Tract 51810045405 · Virginia Beach city, VA · pop 4,414 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 51810045405 sits in the Green Run area of Virginia Beach eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. It is home to 4,414 residents. 46% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,781
Renter share40.4%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate12.8%
Median income$72,207
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
79
th percentile
High
Within county
79
th percentile
High
Within state
73
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Virginia Beach and the region
Centroid at 36.8023, -76.0910 · click any tract to drill in
Why Green Run scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
12.8% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,495 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Virginia Beach
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Virginia Beach
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
How Green Run compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 59
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 45%Socioeconomic
- 67%Household composition
- 76%Racial/ethnic minority
- 53%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 143Total filings over 1 yrs
- 18.64%Avg annual filing rate
- 18.6%Peak (2016)
- 143Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Green Run. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.3%Housing insecurity
- 11.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.6%Food insecurity
- 16.9%SNAP enrollment
- 10.7%Transit barriers
- 10.3%No health insurance
- 18.9%Frequent mental distress
- 31.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Green Run
Against Virginia Beach City at 46.1%, 62% of renters here are cost-burdened. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10.
It sits 0.9 points above the Virginia Beach City average of 3.9. Court records carry 143 eviction filings across 1 observed years.
At $1,495 a month, rents run 13% under what the rest of Virginia Beach commands. Filings peaked in 2016 at 18.6% of renter households.
In a typical year about 18.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. The legal-climate inputs (statute speed, court posture, rent-regulation exposure) come from Virginia eviction laws Beach as a whole. Only the economic and supply signals are measured inside this tract.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.3/10. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $72,207. 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51810045405
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51810045405?
Census tract 51810045405 in the Green Run neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51810045405?
Median gross rent is $1,495/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51810045405?
12.8% of residents in tract 51810045405 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,414.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51810045405?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 67th, minority 76th, housing 53th.
Q5
Is tract 51810045405 considered part of Green Run?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51810045405 fall within Green Run (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51810045405?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 143 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51810045405 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.64% of renter households, peaking at 18.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51810045405 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51810045405 compare to Virginia Beach overall?
Tract 51810045405 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Virginia Beach at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Virginia Beach
Top eight tracts in Virginia Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Cheltenham Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Level Green
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Pocahontas Village
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Oceana
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Pocahontas Village
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
51810045808
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Cheltenham Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Magic Hollow
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Related