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Neighborhood · Ranked #56,660 of 84,120 nationally

Green Run Eviction Risk: Lower , Virginia Beach

Tract 51810045405 · Virginia Beach city, VA · pop 4,414 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

The Moderate-tier score of 4.8/10 for census tract 51810045405 reflects conditions in Green Run in Virginia Beach, Virginia. That is riskier than roughly 30% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 62% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 46% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,495 a month while the average household earns $72,207 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 15% Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,781
Renter share40.4%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate12.8%
Median income$72,207

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 5 tracts In Green Run
Moderate
Within parent city
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#25 of 111 tracts In Virginia Beach
High
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#25 of 111 tracts In Virginia Beach city
High
Within state
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#960 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Virginia Beach and the region

Centroid at 36.8023, -76.0910 · click any tract to drill in

Why Green Run scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
12.8% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,495 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Virginia Beach
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Virginia Beach
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0

How Green Run compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Green Run risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.13.1This tracttract 045405Virginia Beach: 3.83.8Virginia Beachparent cityCounty: 2.42.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 59

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 143Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 18.64%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.6%Peak (2016)
  • 143Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Green Run. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Green Run

What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Virginia Beach City County average of 4.5 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 59th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 16.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51810045405

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51810045405?

Census tract 51810045405 in the Green Run neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51810045405?

Median gross rent is $1,495/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51810045405?

12.8% of residents in tract 51810045405 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,414.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51810045405?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 67th, minority 76th, housing 53th.
Q5

Is tract 51810045405 considered part of Green Run?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51810045405 fall within Green Run (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51810045405?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 143 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51810045405 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.64% of renter households, peaking at 18.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51810045405 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51810045405 compare to Virginia Beach overall?

Tract 51810045405 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Virginia Beach at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Virginia Beach

Top eight tracts in Virginia Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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