Within neighborhood
25
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Green Run Eviction Risk: Lower , Virginia Beach
Tract 51810045809 · Virginia Beach city, VA · pop 6,054 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
51810045809 is a census tract in the Green Run area of Virginia Beach, VA. It scores 3.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 6,054 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.1/10.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units2,541
Renter share40.3%
SVI overall0.57
Poverty rate4.5%
Median income$74,943
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
58
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
49
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Virginia Beach and the region
Centroid at 36.8093, -76.1074 · click any tract to drill in
Why Green Run scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
4.5% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,674 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Virginia Beach
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Virginia Beach
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
How Green Run compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 57
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 28%Socioeconomic
- 49%Household composition
- 72%Racial/ethnic minority
- 85%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 207Total filings over 1 yrs
- 26.74%Avg annual filing rate
- 26.7%Peak (2016)
- 207Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Green Run. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.0%Housing insecurity
- 7.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.6%Food insecurity
- 10.9%SNAP enrollment
- 8.1%Transit barriers
- 9.3%No health insurance
- 17.2%Frequent mental distress
- 27.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Green Run
The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.
The filing record is not thin: 207 evictions over 1 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2016, when 26.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 26.7% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #50,654 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 44% of renters.
It tracks the Virginia Beach City average of 3.9 closely. Average gross rent is $1,674, close to the Virginia Beach average.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51810045809
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51810045809?
Census tract 51810045809 in the Green Run neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51810045809?
Median gross rent is $1,674/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51810045809?
4.5% of residents in tract 51810045809 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,054.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51810045809?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 28th, household 49th, minority 72th, housing 85th.
Q5
Is tract 51810045809 considered part of Green Run?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51810045809 fall within Green Run (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51810045809?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 207 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51810045809 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 26.74% of renter households, peaking at 26.7% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51810045809 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51810045809 compare to Virginia Beach overall?
Tract 51810045809 scores 3.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Virginia Beach at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Virginia Beach
Top eight tracts in Virginia Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Pocahontas Village
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Pocahontas Village
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Oceana
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
51810045808
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Cheltenham Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Green Run
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
51810045200
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Magic Hollow
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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