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Neighborhood · Ranked #68,306 of 84,120 nationally

Green Run Eviction Risk: Lower , Virginia Beach

Tract 51810045809 · Virginia Beach city, VA · pop 6,054 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Here is how census tract 51810045809, in the Green Run area of Virginia Beach eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 4.4/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 6,054. It lands near the 19th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 44% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,674 a month against an average household income of $74,943 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 40% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.4
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 23% Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units2,541
Renter share40.3%
SVI overall0.57
Poverty rate4.5%
Median income$74,943

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 5 tracts In Green Run
Low
Within parent city
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#50 of 111 tracts In Virginia Beach
Elevated
Within county
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#51 of 111 tracts In Virginia Beach city
Moderate
Within state
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#1,257 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Virginia Beach and the region

Centroid at 36.8093, -76.1074 · click any tract to drill in

Why Green Run scores 2.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
4.5% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,674 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Virginia Beach
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Virginia Beach
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0

How Green Run compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Green Run risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.42.4This tracttract 045809Virginia Beach: 3.83.8Virginia Beachparent cityCounty: 2.42.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 57

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 207Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 26.74%Avg annual filing rate
  • 26.7%Peak (2016)
  • 207Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Green Run. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Green Run

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 4.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Virginia Beach City County average of 4.5 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 13.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 57th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51810045809

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51810045809?

Census tract 51810045809 in the Green Run neighborhood scores 2.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51810045809?

Median gross rent is $1,674/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51810045809?

4.5% of residents in tract 51810045809 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,054.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51810045809?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 28th, household 49th, minority 72th, housing 85th.
Q5

Is tract 51810045809 considered part of Green Run?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51810045809 fall within Green Run (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51810045809?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 207 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51810045809 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 26.74% of renter households, peaking at 26.7% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51810045809 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51810045809 compare to Virginia Beach overall?

Tract 51810045809 scores 2.4/10, lower than the parent city of Virginia Beach at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Virginia Beach

Top eight tracts in Virginia Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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