Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Green Run Eviction Risk: Lower , Virginia Beach

Tract 51810045429 · Virginia Beach city, VA · pop 5,368 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 51810045429 covers part of the Green Run area of Virginia Beach, VA, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. 16% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Virginia Beach City average of 46.1%.

Risk score

Lower

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 15% Owners 82%

Tract context

Occupied units1,718

Renter share17.2%

SVI overall0.16

Poverty rate2.8%

Median income$122,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Virginia Beach and the region

Centroid at 36.7873, -76.0871 · click any tract to drill in

Why Green Run scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Virginia Beach

4.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.3

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

2.8% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$1,899 rent vs county FMR

6.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Virginia Beach

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Virginia Beach

3.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Virginia Beach

4.0

How Green Run compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 16

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

13%Socioeconomic
36%Household composition
76%Racial/ethnic minority
11%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Green Run. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.1%Housing insecurity
6.6%Utility-shutoff threat
12.3%Food insecurity
8.3%SNAP enrollment
6.9%Transit barriers
7.4%No health insurance
15.6%Frequent mental distress
23.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Green Run

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Against the Virginia Beach City average of 3.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points.

Average gross rent is $1,899, 11% above the Virginia Beach average. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

At 17% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $122,000.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 51810045429

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51810045429?

Census tract 51810045429 in the Green Run neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51810045429?

Median gross rent is $1,899/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 16% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51810045429?

2.8% of residents in tract 51810045429 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,368.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51810045429?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 36th, minority 76th, housing 11th.

Is tract 51810045429 considered part of Green Run?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51810045429 fall within Green Run (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 51810045429 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51810045429 compare to Virginia Beach overall?

Tract 51810045429 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Virginia Beach at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Virginia Beach

Top eight tracts in Virginia Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.