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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Green Run Eviction Risk: Moderate , Virginia Beach

Tract 51810046013 · Virginia Beach city, VA · pop 4,825 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

51810046013 is a census tract in the Green Run area of Virginia Beach, VA. It scores 5.1/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,825 residents. The severe-burden share is 46%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 13% Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units2,106
Renter share42.0%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate12.2%
Median income$61,610

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 5 tracts In Green Run
High
Within parent city
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#22 of 111 tracts In Virginia Beach
High
Within county
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#22 of 111 tracts In Virginia Beach city
High
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#473 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Virginia Beach and the region

Centroid at 36.7916, -76.1081 · click any tract to drill in

Why Green Run scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
12.2% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,758 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Virginia Beach
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Virginia Beach
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0

How Green Run compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Green Run risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 0460133.8Virginia Beachparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 144Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 22.02%Avg annual filing rate
  • 22.0%Peak (2016)
  • 144Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Green Run. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Green Run

Cost burden runs 68% here against 46.1% across Virginia Beach City. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $61,610, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10. Against the Virginia Beach City average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 3.1/10. The filing record is not thin: 144 evictions over 1 years of observation.

The worst year on record was 2016, when 22.0% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 22.0% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #31,049 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

The legal-climate inputs (statute speed, court posture, rent-regulation exposure) come from Virginia eviction laws Beach as a whole. Only the economic and supply signals are measured inside this tract. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,758, close to the Virginia Beach average. 42% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51810046013

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51810046013?

Census tract 51810046013 in the Green Run neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51810046013?

Median gross rent is $1,758/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51810046013?

12.2% of residents in tract 51810046013 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,825.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51810046013?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 84th, minority 72th, housing 90th.
Q5

Is tract 51810046013 considered part of Green Run?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51810046013 fall within Green Run (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51810046013?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 144 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51810046013 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 22.02% of renter households, peaking at 22.0% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51810046013 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51810046013 compare to Virginia Beach overall?

Tract 51810046013 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Virginia Beach at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Virginia Beach

Top eight tracts in Virginia Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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