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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally

Green Run Eviction Risk: Moderate , Virginia Beach

Tract 51810045810 · Virginia Beach city, VA · pop 2,763 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Green Run in Virginia Beach is where census tract 51810045810 sits, home to 2,763 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 4.6/10. That is riskier than about 24% of US census tracts.

About 30% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $965 a month against an average household income of $54,620 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 58% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 41% Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units851
Renter share58.4%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate30.0%
Median income$54,620

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Green Run
Very High
Within parent city
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 111 tracts In Virginia Beach
Very High
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 111 tracts In Virginia Beach city
Very High
Within state
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#350 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Virginia Beach and the region

Centroid at 36.7986, -76.1048 · click any tract to drill in

Why Green Run scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
30.0% poverty · this tract
7.5
Supply constraint
$965 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Virginia Beach
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Virginia Beach
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0

How Green Run compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Green Run risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.64.6This tracttract 045810Virginia Beach: 3.83.8Virginia Beachparent cityCounty: 2.42.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 35Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 7.92%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.9%Peak (2016)
  • 35Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Green Run. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Green Run

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 7.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Virginia Beach City County average of 4.5 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 23.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 16.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 35 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 7.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.9% of renter households in 2016.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51810045810

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51810045810?

Census tract 51810045810 in the Green Run neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51810045810?

Median gross rent is $965/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51810045810?

30.0% of residents in tract 51810045810 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,763.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51810045810?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 91th, minority 84th, housing 41th.
Q5

Is tract 51810045810 considered part of Green Run?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51810045810 fall within Green Run (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51810045810?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 35 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51810045810 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.92% of renter households, peaking at 7.9% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51810045810 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51810045810 compare to Virginia Beach overall?

Tract 51810045810 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Virginia Beach at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Virginia Beach

Top eight tracts in Virginia Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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