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Neighborhood · Ranked #46,312 of 84,120 nationally

Denton Square Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 48121020603 · Denton, TX · pop 3,544 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Here is how census tract 48121020603, in the Denton Square area of Denton eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 5.3/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 3,544. That is riskier than about 48% of US census tracts.

About 46% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,758 monthly, set against $73,412 in average yearly household income, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 18% Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,138
Renter share33.3%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate8.0%
Median income$73,412

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 8 tracts In Denton Square
Very Low
Within parent city
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#20 of 34 tracts In Denton
Moderate
Within county
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#32 of 193 tracts In Denton
High
Within state
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#3,702 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Denton and the region

Centroid at 33.2222, -97.1152 · click any tract to drill in

Why Denton Square scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Denton
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.0% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,758 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Denton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Denton
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Denton
3.5

How Denton Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Denton Square risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.73.7This tracttract 020603Denton: 3.03.0Dentonparent cityCounty: 2.22.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 60

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 142Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.79×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2020-02-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2020-11-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 4 filings (8.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-09-01: 4 filings (2.29× baseline)2021-10-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2021-11-01: 4 filings (8.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-01-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2022-02-01: 4 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 3 filings (2.40× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 3 filings (6.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2022-10-01: 3 filings (1.71× baseline)2022-11-01: 5 filings (10.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2023-02-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2023-04-01: 3 filings (12.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 5 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2023-09-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2023-10-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 3 filings (2.40× baseline)2024-02-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2024-04-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 4 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 4 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 3 filings (6.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2024-10-01: 4 filings (2.29× baseline)2024-11-01: 4 filings (8.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 4 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2025-09-01: 3 filings (1.71× baseline)2025-10-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2025-11-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 4 filings (2.67× baseline)2026-01-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Denton Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Denton Square

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Denton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Denton County average of 5.0 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.79x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48121020603

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121020603?

Census tract 48121020603 in the Denton Square neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48121020603?

Median gross rent is $1,758/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48121020603?

8.0% of residents in tract 48121020603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,544.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48121020603?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 66th, minority 81th, housing 20th.
Q5

Is tract 48121020603 considered part of Denton Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48121020603 fall within Denton Square (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48121020603 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.79× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48121020603 compare to Denton overall?

Tract 48121020603 scores 3.7/10, higher than the parent city of Denton at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Denton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Denton

Top eight tracts in Denton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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