Within parent city
52
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Denton Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 48121020504 · Denton, TX · pop 4,602 · 72% of tract blocks fall in Denton
Census tract 48121020504 covers part of Denton, TX, and scores 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,602. The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,483
Renter share37.0%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate15.1%
Median income$87,886
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
87
th percentile
High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
National
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Denton and the region
Centroid at 33.2755, -97.1196 · click any tract to drill in
Why Denton scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Denton
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
15.1% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,697 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Denton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Denton
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Denton
3.5
How Denton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 78
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 69%Socioeconomic
- 91%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 59%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 550Total filings over 13 yrs
- 7.98%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.3%Peak (2016)
- 67Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 253% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 288Total filings 2020-21
- 3.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.86×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Denton
On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10. Against the Denton County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.
The severe-burden share is 13%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Average gross rent is $1,697, 20% above the Denton average.
Adults with no health insurance runs 21.6% against 11.3% nationally. Court records carry 550 eviction filings across 13 observed years. The worst year on record was 2016, when 11.3% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 8.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 63rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121020504
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121020504?
Census tract 48121020504 in Denton scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121020504?
Median gross rent is $1,697/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121020504?
15.1% of residents in tract 48121020504 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,602.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121020504?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 91th, minority 70th, housing 59th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48121020504?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 550 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 48121020504 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.98% of renter households, peaking at 11.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48121020504 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.86× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48121020504 compare to Denton overall?
Tract 48121020504 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Denton at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Denton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Denton
Top eight tracts in Denton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48121020900
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121021203
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121021204
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121021304
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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