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Census Tract · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally

Lewisville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 48121021645 · Denton, TX · pop 1,577 · 78% of tract blocks fall in Lewisville

With a score of 5.5/10, tract 48121021645 in Lewisville, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,577 residents. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45% Stable renters 32% Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units594
Renter share76.4%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate41.4%
Median income$58,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 32 tracts In Lewisville
High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 193 tracts In Denton
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#83 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
National
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#23,808 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lewisville and the region

Centroid at 33.0369, -96.9509 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lewisville scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lewisville
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
41.4% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,620 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lewisville
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lewisville
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lewisville
5.3

How Lewisville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lewisville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.55.5This tracttract 021645Lewisville: 4.14.1Lewisvilleparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 147Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.9Avg monthly (observed)
  • 8.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.22×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 4 filings (0.32× baseline)2020-02-01: 4 filings (0.76× baseline)2020-03-01: 6 filings (0.59× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 2 filings (0.20× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 2 filings (0.18× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (0.10× baseline)2021-12-01: 1 filings (0.10× baseline)2022-01-01: 1 filings (0.08× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 1 filings (0.10× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 3 filings (0.57× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 3 filings (0.20× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 2 filings (0.16× baseline)2023-02-01: 1 filings (0.19× baseline)2023-03-01: 1 filings (0.10× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 4 filings (0.34× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 1 filings (0.09× baseline)2023-10-01: 3 filings (0.20× baseline)2023-11-01: 2 filings (0.20× baseline)2023-12-01: 3 filings (0.29× baseline)2024-01-01: 4 filings (0.32× baseline)2024-02-01: 4 filings (0.76× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 1 filings (0.19× baseline)2024-07-01: 1 filings (0.09× baseline)2024-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 2 filings (0.18× baseline)2024-10-01: 1 filings (0.07× baseline)2024-11-01: 4 filings (0.40× baseline)2024-12-01: 2 filings (0.19× baseline)2025-01-01: 7 filings (0.56× baseline)2025-02-01: 5 filings (0.95× baseline)2025-03-01: 2 filings (0.20× baseline)2025-04-01: 3 filings (0.35× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 3 filings (0.57× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 3 filings (0.40× baseline)2025-09-01: 5 filings (0.45× baseline)2025-10-01: 3 filings (0.20× baseline)2025-11-01: 3 filings (0.30× baseline)2025-12-01: 7 filings (0.67× baseline)2026-01-01: 7 filings (70.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 22 filings (220.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 7 filings (70.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lewisville

34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The poverty rate is 41%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Adults with no health insurance runs 32.2% against 11.3% nationally.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.3/10. Cost burden runs 59% here against 45.5% across Denton County. 76% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $58,750, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.2/10.

It sits 1.7 points above the Denton County average of 3.8. That is riskier than roughly 72% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,620, close to the Lewisville average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48121021645

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121021645?

Census tract 48121021645 in Lewisville scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48121021645?

Median gross rent is $1,620/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48121021645?

41.4% of residents in tract 48121021645 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,577.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48121021645?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 71th, minority 89th, housing 90th.
Q5

Did eviction filings in tract 48121021645 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.22× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q6

How does tract 48121021645 compare to Lewisville overall?

Tract 48121021645 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Lewisville at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lewisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lewisville

Top eight tracts in Lewisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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