Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally
Normandy Homes Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lewisville
Tract 48121021618 ·
Denton, TX · pop 4,890 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
48121021618 is a census tract in the Normandy Homes area of Lewisville, TX. It scores 5.5/10 for landlords. Severe burden reaches 45%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%Stable renters 18%Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,869
Renter share45.2%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate31.2%
Median income$64,240
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 3 tracts In Normandy Homes
Very High
Within parent city
90th percentile
#4 of 32 tracts In Lewisville
Very High
Within county
98th percentile
#4 of 193 tracts In Denton
Very High
Within state
99th percentile
#83 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lewisville and the region
Centroid at 33.0471, -96.9984 · click any tract to drill in
Why Normandy Homes scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lewisville
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
31.2% poverty · this tract
7.8
Supply constraint
$1,577 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lewisville
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lewisville
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lewisville
5.3
How Normandy Homes compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
85%Socioeconomic
86%Household composition
65%Racial/ethnic minority
47%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
343Total filings over 13 yrs
3.41%Avg annual filing rate
3.0%Peak (2002)
22Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year2001 to 2016
Filings climbed 16% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
349Total filings 2020-21
4.5Avg monthly (observed)
4.3Pre-pandemic baseline
1.04×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Normandy Homes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Cost burden runs 61% here against 45.5% across Denton County. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.2/10.
The poverty rate is 31%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against the Denton County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Adults with no health insurance runs 26.2% against 11.3% nationally. Court records carry 343 eviction filings across 13 observed years. Filings peaked in 2002 at 3.0% of renter households.
In a typical year about 3.4% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #23,808 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121021618
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121021618?
Census tract 48121021618 in the Normandy Homes neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121021618?
Median gross rent is $1,577/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121021618?
31.2% of residents in tract 48121021618 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,890.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121021618?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 86th, minority 65th, housing 47th.
Q5
Is tract 48121021618 considered part of Normandy Homes?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48121021618 fall within Normandy Homes (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48121021618?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 343 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 48121021618 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.41% of renter households, peaking at 3.0% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48121021618 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.04× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48121021618 compare to Lewisville overall?
Tract 48121021618 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Lewisville at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lewisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lewisville
Top eight tracts in Lewisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.