Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally
Normandy Homes Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lewisville
Tract 48121021618 · Denton, TX · pop 4,890 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
For landlords sizing up Normandy Homes in Lewisville, census tract 48121021618 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.3/10. That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 61% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 45% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,577 a month against an average household income of $64,240 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,869
Renter share45.2%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate31.2%
Median income$64,240
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
92
th percentile
Very High
Within state
62
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lewisville and the region
Centroid at 33.0471, -96.9984 · click any tract to drill in
Why Normandy Homes scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lewisville
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
31.2% poverty · this tract
7.8
Supply constraint
$1,577 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lewisville
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lewisville
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lewisville
5.3
How Normandy Homes compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 85%Socioeconomic
- 86%Household composition
- 65%Racial/ethnic minority
- 47%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 343Total filings over 13 yrs
- 3.41%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.0%Peak (2002)
- 22Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 16% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 349Total filings 2020-21
- 4.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.04×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Normandy Homes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Normandy Homes
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lewisville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Denton County average of 5.0 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.04x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121021618
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121021618?
Census tract 48121021618 in the Normandy Homes neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121021618?
Median gross rent is $1,577/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121021618?
31.2% of residents in tract 48121021618 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,890.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121021618?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 86th, minority 65th, housing 47th.
Q5
Is tract 48121021618 considered part of Normandy Homes?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48121021618 fall within Normandy Homes (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48121021618?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 343 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 48121021618 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.41% of renter households, peaking at 3.0% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48121021618 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.04× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48121021618 compare to Lewisville overall?
Tract 48121021618 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Lewisville at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lewisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lewisville
Top eight tracts in Lewisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48121021645
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Continental Square
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Golden Park Place
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Golden Park Place
2.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121021620
2.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Continental Square
2.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Continental Square
2.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121021502
2.7
/ 10 · Low
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