Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Kensington Place Eviction Risk: Lower , Carrollton
Tract 48121021651 · Denton, TX · pop 6,157 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 48121021651 in the Kensington Place area of Carrollton, TX reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,157. The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units2,737
Renter share36.0%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate5.5%
Median income$116,107
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
3
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
34
th percentile
Low
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Carrollton and the region
Centroid at 33.0417, -96.8690 · click any tract to drill in
Why Kensington Place scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Carrollton
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.5% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,919 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carrollton
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carrollton
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carrollton
2.5
How Kensington Place compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 29
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 30%Socioeconomic
- 5%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 55%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 483Total filings 2020-21
- 6.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.90×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Kensington Place. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Kensington Place
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.4/10. Against Denton County at 45.5%, 56% of renters here are cost-burdened.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Against the Denton County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. At $1,919 a month, rents run 11% over what the rest of Carrollton commands.
On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $116,107.
36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121021651
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121021651?
Census tract 48121021651 in the Kensington Place neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121021651?
Median gross rent is $1,919/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121021651?
5.5% of residents in tract 48121021651 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,157.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121021651?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 5th, minority 71th, housing 55th.
Q5
Is tract 48121021651 considered part of Kensington Place?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48121021651 fall within Kensington Place (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48121021651 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.90× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48121021651 compare to Carrollton overall?
Tract 48121021651 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Carrollton at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carrollton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Carrollton
Top eight tracts in Carrollton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48113013717
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121021613
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
New Koreatown
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
New Koreatown
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121021646
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Addison Circle
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121021630
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121021615
3.3
/ 10 · Low
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