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Neighborhood · Leander, TX

Horizon Lake Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 7,533 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.8/10 · range 3.7–3.8

Horizon Lake takes in 2 census tracts of Leander, TX and houses 7,533 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.8/10, in the Lower tier. Cost burden runs about half against 28.4% citywide, putting Horizon Lake 23.8% over its own city.

The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.4/10. The severe-burden share is 22%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 1.7/10.

That places it #1 of 9 neighborhoods in Leander. The closest comparables inside the same city are Savanna Ranch and Northcreek Ranch.

Poverty sits at 7%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Its 2 tracts score within 0.1 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Average gross rent runs $1,863, close to the Leander average.

Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $99,253. 34% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Horizon Lake vs Leander How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
52.2% +84%
Leander: 28.4%
Average gross rent
$1,863 -4%
Leander: $1,939
Average HH income
$99,253 -29%
Leander: $140,180
Poverty rate
6.9% +58%
Leander: 4.4%
Renter share
33.9% +27%
Leander: 26.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Horizon Lake and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.7–3.8

Why Horizon Lake scores 3.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Rent control risk
52% of income on rent · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.4–1.4 across tracts
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
34% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Economic stress
6.9% below poverty line · Range 1.2–2.2 across tracts
1.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.2–4.9 across tracts
4.6
Risk score comparison

Horizon Lake vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Horizon Lake score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.8Horizon LakeNeighborhood3.5Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Horizon Lake

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48491020341 3.8 3,924 61% $1,929
48491020332 3.7 3,609 42% $1,792
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 26

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 35%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 24%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 66%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 16%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About Horizon Lake

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Horizon Lake?

Horizon Lake scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Horizon Lake compare to Leander overall?

Horizon Lake scores 0.3 points higher than Leander overall (3.5/10). Renters spend 52% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,863 vs $1,939.
Q3

What is the average rent in Horizon Lake?

Average gross rent in Horizon Lake is $1,863/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Horizon Lake residents are renters?

34% of Horizon Lake households are renter-occupied (vs 27% in Leander). The neighborhood has 7,533 residents.
Q5

Is Horizon Lake a high social-vulnerability area?

Horizon Lake sits in the 26th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Horizon Lake have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Horizon Lake is census tract 48491020341 (score 3.8/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.7 to 3.8, a spread of 0.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Horizon Lake for landlords?

Horizon Lake carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.8/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Leander as a whole (3.5/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Horizon Lake?

Horizon Lake has 7,782 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (44.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (44.1%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (6.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Horizon Lake

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Leander

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Horizon Lake.

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