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Arlington, Vermont eviction risk overview
City brief · 1,623 residents

Arlington, VT Eviction Risk: MODERATE

Bennington County · Population 1,623

In 2026
Risk score
5.2
MODERATE

92th percentile, Vermont.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min2.5 Average3.7 Now5.2
6.2 2.5 1976 · score 2.6 1977 · score 2.6 1978 · score 2.5 1979 · score 2.5 1980 · score 2.6 1981 · score 2.5 1982 · score 2.6 1983 · score 2.6 1984 · score 2.5 1985 · score 2.5 1986 · score 2.5 1987 · score 2.8 1988 · score 2.8 1989 · score 2.8 1990 · score 2.9 1991 · score 3.0 1992 · score 3.1 1993 · score 3.0 1994 · score 3.0 1995 · score 3.1 1996 · score 3.3 1997 · score 3.3 1998 · score 3.3 1999 · score 3.3 2000 · score 3.3 2001 · score 3.3 2002 · score 3.3 2003 · score 3.3 2004 · score 3.5 2005 · score 3.5 2006 · score 3.6 2007 · score 3.7 2008 · score 4.4 2009 · score 4.6 2010 · score 4.6 2011 · score 4.6 2012 · score 4.6 2013 · score 4.6 2014 · score 4.6 2015 · score 4.6 2016 · score 4.6 2017 · score 4.6 2018 · score 4.6 2019 · score 4.5 2020 · score 6.1 2021 · score 6.2 2022 · score 5.3 2023 · score 5.0 2024 · score 5.3 2025 · score 5.2 2026 · score 5.2

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 6.7 Regional 6.7 State 4.6 Economic 6.6 Supply 6.6 Rent Control 9.5 Eviction 4.6 Tenant 6.5 Housing 7.2 5.2 MODERATE
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    Dem margin +22.5% (2024)
    6.7
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    6.7
  3. State political climate
    Vermont legislature & governorship
    4.6
  4. Economic stress
    9.3% poverty · 8.2% unemp.
    6.6
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,164 average · 24.8% renters
    6.6
  6. Rent Control risk
    51.0% of income on rent
    9.5
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    95 days filing → judgment
    4.6
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    24.8% renters
    6.5
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    7.2
Geographic context

Risk heat across Arlington and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Arlington compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Bennington County
Very High
#2 of 15 cities
Rank in county, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 15 cities in Bennington County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Vermont
Very High
#15 of 180 cities
Rank in state, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#15 of 180 cities in Vermont for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Arlington risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Arlington: 5.25.2ArlingtonThis cityCounty: 4.94.9Countyavg in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 5.2
    / 10 · MODERATE
    The verdict

    A Moderate-tier market.

    Composite 5.2/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+2.6 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 95d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,164/mo. A contested eviction takes 95 days and costs $4,548–$7,783 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 24.8%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 1,623 residents, 24.8% rent. 51% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 9.3% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 6.7
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 6.7 and 6.7 (Dem margin +22.5% (2024)). State climate at 4.6, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 4.6
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 4.6/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 4.6, housing court bias 7.2, rent-control risk 9.5. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-0.4 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 6.6
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 6.6. Supply constraint: 6.6. The numbers behind those: 9.3% poverty, 8.2% unemployment, 51% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Arlington sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 7.1 Boston Worcester, MA · 184d · ~$19.8k all-in ($108/day) · score 6.4 Worcester Providence, RI · 108d · ~$8.9k all-in ($83/day) · score 6 Providence Springfield, MA · 191d · ~$20.6k all-in ($108/day) · score 6.7 Springfield Bridgeport, CT · 150d · ~$11.5k all-in ($77/day) · score 7.6 Bridgeport Stamford, CT · 146d · ~$11.1k all-in ($76/day) · score 6.8 Stamford New Haven, CT · 136d · ~$11.1k all-in ($81/day) · score 7.5 New Haven Hartford, CT · 133d · ~$11.1k all-in ($84/day) · score 7.6 Hartford Cambridge, MA · 212d · ~$19.8k all-in ($93/day) · score 7.1 Cambridge Lowell, MA · 198d · ~$19.9k all-in ($101/day) · score 6.1 Lowell Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.8 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.1 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 3.4 Atlanta Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 5.7 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.7 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle Arlington
Arlington · 95d · ~$6.2k all-in ($65/day) · score 5.2 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Arlington, VT

Landlording in Arlington, Vermont, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.2/10 (MODERATE tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Arlington is a city of 1,623 residents where 24.8% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 51.0% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,164/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Arlington eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 4.6/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Arlington closes 95 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Arlington's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 7.2/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Arlington runs $4,548 to $7,783 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 95 days of typical timeline and $1,164/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 6.5/10 in Arlington, and the city sits at the top of the rent control risk spectrum (9.5/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Vermont, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Arlington: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a MODERATE tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Vermont's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $7,783 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Arlington

Trap · 24.8%
24.8% renter share against 1,623 residents produces roughly 403 rental occupants in Arlington. Bennington County voted D 27.3% in 2020. Eviction filings tend to cluster in the multifamily rental corridor.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What happens if my tenant pays after the 14-day notice but before I file in court?

If your tenant pays the full amount due within the 14-day notice period, the notice is satisfied, and you cannot proceed with an eviction based on that non-payment. If they pay after the 14 days but before you file, you generally can still file for eviction, but accepting the payment might complicate things. It's best to consult an attorney in this specific scenario to avoid inadvertently waiving your rights.

Q2

Can I turn off utilities if my tenant stops paying rent in Arlington?

Absolutely not. Turning off utilities (heat, water, electricity) is considered an illegal self-help eviction in Vermont and can lead to severe penalties, including fines and having to pay the tenant's actual damages. You must follow the legal eviction process through the courts.

Q3

Is there rent control in Arlington, VT?

No, there is no statewide rent control in Vermont, and Arlington does not have its own local rent control ordinances. However, the rent-control-risk sub-score of 9.5 indicates that this is an area with a high potential for future rent control measures to be enacted. Stay informed about legislative changes at the state level.

Q4

How much notice do I need to give a tenant to move out if they're month-to-month and I just want them gone?

For a no-cause termination of a month-to-month tenancy, you generally need to provide a 60-day notice. This assumes there isn't a specific lease violation. Always ensure your notice is properly written and served according to Vermont statutes.

Q5

What if my tenant damages the property beyond normal wear and tear?

You can use the security deposit to cover documented damages beyond normal wear and tear. You must provide an itemized list of deductions and costs within 14 days of the tenant vacating. If the damages exceed the security deposit, you can pursue the tenant for the additional costs, though collecting on such judgments can be challenging.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 5.2/10 places Arlington in the 92nd percentile of Vermont cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.