Captains Row Eviction Risk: Moderate

The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1/10. At $2,461 a month, rents sit 18% over what the rest of Alexandria commands.

Severe burden reaches 12%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. 2.9% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. 4.0% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

Among the 26 mapped neighborhoods of Alexandria, it ranks #17 by risk, the middle third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Alexandria Historic District and Seminary Valley.

Against average income of $155,581, annual rent is only 19%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Its 2 tracts score within 0.7 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. 39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

With little internal variation, 5.2/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.