Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #72,539 of 84,120 nationally
Captains Row Eviction Risk: Lower , Alexandria
Tract 51510202002 · Alexandria city, VA · pop 2,411 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
The Captains Row area of Alexandria is where census tract 51510202002 sits, home to 2,411 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 6.1/10. It lands near the 76th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 58% of renter households, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,924 a month while the average household earns $104,063 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 55% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
2.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units1,593
Renter share55.2%
SVI overall0.12
Poverty rate2.6%
Median income$104,063
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
53
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
36
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Alexandria and the region
Centroid at 38.7921, -77.0423 · click any tract to drill in
Why Captains Row scores 2.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Alexandria
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,924 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Alexandria
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Alexandria
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Alexandria
5.5
How Captains Row compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 12
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 7%Socioeconomic
- 6%Household composition
- 40%Racial/ethnic minority
- 47%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Captains Row. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.1%Housing insecurity
- 3.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 4.9%Food insecurity
- 3.2%SNAP enrollment
- 3.7%Transit barriers
- 4.5%No health insurance
- 12.7%Frequent mental distress
- 21.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Captains Row
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Alexandria eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Alexandria City County average of 5.9 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 5.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 12th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 51510202002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51510202002?
Census tract 51510202002 in the Captains Row neighborhood scores 2.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51510202002?
Median gross rent is $1,924/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51510202002?
2.6% of residents in tract 51510202002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,411.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51510202002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 6th, minority 40th, housing 47th.
Q5
Is tract 51510202002 considered part of Captains Row?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51510202002 fall within Captains Row (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51510202002 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51510202002 compare to Alexandria overall?
Tract 51510202002 scores 2.1/10, lower than the parent city of Alexandria at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Alexandria eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Alexandria
Top eight tracts in Alexandria ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Shirley Duke
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Beverley Hills
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
WestEnd Alexandria
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
WestEnd Alexandria
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Dowden Terrace
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Lincolnia Park
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
WestEnd Alexandria
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
WestEnd Alexandria
3.2
/ 10 · Low
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