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Neighborhood · Alexandria, VA

Lynhaven Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 5,315 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.7/10 · range 5–6.6

Lynhaven takes in 2 census tracts of Alexandria, VA and houses 5,315 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.7/10, in the Moderate tier. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 2.2/10.

The 2 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 5 to 6.6, a 1.6-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. Severe burden reaches 16%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

31% of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent. That places it #10 of 26 neighborhoods in Alexandria. For a like-for-like read, Parkfairfax and Delta score within a fraction of it.

Average gross rent runs $1,993, close to the Alexandria average. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $117,432. 64% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.6 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Lynhaven vs Alexandria How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
31.2% +10%
Alexandria: 28.3%
Average gross rent
$1,993 -5%
Alexandria: $2,089
Average HH income
$117,432 +3%
Alexandria: $113,638
Poverty rate
8.6% +2%
Alexandria: 8.4%
Renter share
64.4% +11%
Alexandria: 57.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lynhaven and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5–6.6

Why Lynhaven scores 5.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Rent control risk
31% of income on rent · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
64% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Economic stress
8.6% below poverty line · Range 1.0–3.8 across tracts
2.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.0–4.5 across tracts
3.6
Risk score comparison

Lynhaven vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Lynhaven score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.7LynhavenNeighborhood5.9Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Lynhaven

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
51510201205 6.6 2,303 28% $2,188
51510201204 5 3,012 34% $1,844
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 38

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 40%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 11%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 69%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 52%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lynhaven

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Lynhaven

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lynhaven?

Lynhaven scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Lynhaven compare to Alexandria overall?

Lynhaven scores 0.2 points lower than Alexandria overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 31% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,993 vs $2,089.
Q3

What is the average rent in Lynhaven?

Average gross rent in Lynhaven is $1,993/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Lynhaven residents are renters?

64% of Lynhaven households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Alexandria). The neighborhood has 5,315 residents.
Q5

Is Lynhaven a high social-vulnerability area?

Lynhaven sits in the 38th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Lynhaven have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Lynhaven is census tract 51510201205 (score 6.6/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5 to 6.6, a spread of 1.6 points.
Q7

How safe is Lynhaven for landlords?

Lynhaven carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.7/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Alexandria as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Lynhaven?

Lynhaven has 5,452 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (42.3%), Hispanic / Latino (30.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (22.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lynhaven

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Alexandria

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lynhaven.

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