Neighborhood · Alexandria, VA

Alexandria Historic District Eviction Risk: Lower

5 census tracts · pop 14,352 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1.9/10 · range 1.7–2.4

Alexandria Historic District is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Alexandria with 5 census tracts and a population of 14,352 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1.9/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 30% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 14% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,027/month sits 3% lower than the Alexandria citywide average ($2,089).

Risk score

1.9

Lower

5 tracts · population-weighted

Alexandria Historic District vs Alexandria How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

29.6% +5%

Alexandria: 28.3%

Average gross rent

$2,027 -3%

Alexandria: $2,089

Average HH income

$159,608 +40%

Alexandria: $113,638

Poverty rate

7.3% -13%

Alexandria: 8.4%

Renter share

48.2% -17%

Alexandria: 57.9%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Alexandria Historic District and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 1.7–2.4

Why Alexandria Historic District scores 1.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts

8.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts

8.0

Rent control risk

30% of income on rent · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Tenant organizing strength

48% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Economic stress

7.3% below poverty line · Range 1.0–3.5 across tracts

1.8

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.3–6.5 across tracts

5.2

Risk score comparison

Alexandria Historic District vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Alexandria Historic District?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0.7 points from 1.7 to 2.4. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

2.4 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.7

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

5 tracts in Alexandria Historic District

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51510201802	2.4	2,013	23%	—
51510201601	1.9	3,100	22%	$2,671
51510201805	1.8	3,542	39%	$2,396
51510200703	1.7	3,809	29%	$2,148
51510201900	1.7	1,888	32%	$2,198

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 13

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 10%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 11%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 47%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 41%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Alexandria Historic District

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

6.6%Housing insecurity
4.5%Utility shutoff threat
6.8%Food insecurity
5.2%SNAP enrollment
5.0%No health insurance
22.5%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Alexandria Historic District

What is the eviction-risk score for Alexandria Historic District?

Alexandria Historic District scores 1.9/10 (Lower tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Alexandria Historic District compare to Alexandria overall?

Alexandria Historic District scores 2.7 points lower than Alexandria overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 30% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $2,027 vs $2,089.

What is the average rent in Alexandria Historic District?

Average gross rent in Alexandria eviction risk Historic District is $2,027/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Alexandria Historic District residents are renters?

48% of Alexandria Historic District households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Alexandria). The neighborhood has 14,352 residents.

Is Alexandria Historic District a high social-vulnerability area?

Alexandria Historic District sits in the 13th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Alexandria Historic District have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Alexandria Historic District is census tract 51510201802 (score 2.4/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 1.7 to 2.4, a spread of 0.7 points.

How safe is Alexandria Historic District for landlords?

Alexandria eviction risk Historic District carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1.9/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Alexandria as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Alexandria Historic District?

Alexandria Historic District has 14,490 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (67.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (15.4%), Hispanic / Latino (8.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Alexandria Historic District

1.9 Captains Row 2 tracts · pop 4,812 1.8 Rosemont 4 tracts · pop 12,604 1.9 Oakville 4 tracts · pop 9,399 2.4 Lynhaven 2 tracts · pop 5,315 3.1 Beverley Hills 2 tracts · pop 7,955 2.1 Delta 2 tracts · pop 7,179

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Alexandria

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Alexandria Historic District.

1.9 Seminary Valley 2 tracts · pop 7,698 1.9 Captains Row 2 tracts · pop 4,812 1.8 Winslow Hills 1 tracts · pop 1,671 1.8 Rosemont 4 tracts · pop 12,604 2 Cameron Valley 1 tracts · pop 764 1.7 North Fairlington 1 tracts · pop 2,230

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