Skip to content
Neighborhood · Alexandria, VA

Alexandria Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

5 census tracts · pop 14,352 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10 · range 4.9–5.9

Alexandria Historic District is a 5-tract neighborhood of Alexandria, VA, population 14,352. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.2/10, in the Moderate tier. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.8/10.

Rent consumes at least 30% of income for 30% of renter households. 14% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Scores across the 5 constituent tracts range from 4.9 to 5.9. A 1-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.6% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. 5.0% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. That places it #17 of 26 neighborhoods in Alexandria.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Seminary Valley and Captains Row. Against average income of $159,608, annual rent is only 15%, a wide affordability cushion.

Average gross rent runs $2,027, close to the Alexandria average. 48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 5.2 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
5 tracts · population-weighted
Alexandria Historic District vs Alexandria How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
29.6% +5%
Alexandria: 28.3%
Average gross rent
$2,027 -3%
Alexandria: $2,089
Average HH income
$159,608 +40%
Alexandria: $113,638
Poverty rate
7.3% -13%
Alexandria: 8.4%
Renter share
48.2% -17%
Alexandria: 57.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Alexandria Historic District and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 4.9–5.9

Why Alexandria Historic District scores 5.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Rent control risk
30% of income on rent · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
48% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Economic stress
7.3% below poverty line · Range 1.0–3.5 across tracts
1.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.3–6.5 across tracts
5.2
Risk score comparison

Alexandria Historic District vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Alexandria Historic District score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.2Alexandria HistoriNeighborhood5.9Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Alexandria Historic District?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1 points from 4.9 to 5.9. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

5 tracts in Alexandria Historic District

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51510201802 5.9 2,013 23% ,
51510201601 5.3 3,100 22% $2,671
51510201805 5.1 3,542 39% $2,396
51510200703 5 3,809 29% $2,148
51510201900 4.9 1,888 32% $2,198
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 13

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 10%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 11%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 47%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 41%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Alexandria Historic District

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Alexandria Historic District

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Alexandria Historic District?

Alexandria Historic District scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Alexandria Historic District compare to Alexandria overall?

Alexandria Historic District scores 0.7 points lower than Alexandria overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 30% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $2,027 vs $2,089.
Q3

What is the average rent in Alexandria Historic District?

Average gross rent in Alexandria eviction risk Historic District is $2,027/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Alexandria Historic District residents are renters?

48% of Alexandria Historic District households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Alexandria). The neighborhood has 14,352 residents.
Q5

Is Alexandria Historic District a high social-vulnerability area?

Alexandria Historic District sits in the 13th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Alexandria Historic District have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Alexandria Historic District is census tract 51510201802 (score 5.9/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.9 to 5.9, a spread of 1 points.
Q7

How safe is Alexandria Historic District for landlords?

Alexandria eviction risk Historic District carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Alexandria as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Alexandria Historic District?

Alexandria Historic District has 14,490 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (67.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (15.4%), Hispanic / Latino (8.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Alexandria Historic District

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Alexandria

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Alexandria Historic District.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further