Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Chinquapin Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Alexandria
Tract 51510200801 ·
Alexandria city, VA · pop 3,415 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
With a score of 4.8/10, tract 51510200801 in the Chinquapin Village area of Alexandria, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs roughly two in three here against 41.2% across Alexandria City.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%Stable renters 7%Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,123
Renter share19.7%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate1.5%
Median income$244,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Chinquapin Village
Moderate
Within parent city
17th percentile
#40 of 48 tracts In Alexandria
Very Low
Within county
6th percentile
#45 of 48 tracts In Alexandria city
Very Low
Within state
73th percentile
#589 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Alexandria and the region
Centroid at 38.8166, -77.0809 · click any tract to drill in
Why Chinquapin Village scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Alexandria
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,842 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Alexandria
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Alexandria
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Alexandria
5.5
How Chinquapin Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 16
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
2%Socioeconomic
32%Household composition
54%Racial/ethnic minority
40%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
6.1%Housing insecurity
3.8%Utility-shutoff threat
6.5%Food insecurity
4.4%SNAP enrollment
4.1%Transit barriers
5.9%No health insurance
12.6%Frequent mental distress
23.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Chinquapin Village
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.
Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.1/10. SNAP participation runs 4.4% against 15.2% nationally. Against the Alexandria City average of 5.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points.
Housing insecurity runs 6.1% against 14.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,842, 12% below the Alexandria average. Nationally it ranks #35,669 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 20% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 9% of average household income of $244,250, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51510200801
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51510200801?
Census tract 51510200801 in the Chinquapin Village neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51510200801?
Median gross rent is $1,842/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51510200801?
1.5% of residents in tract 51510200801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,415.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51510200801?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 32th, minority 54th, housing 40th.
Q5
Is tract 51510200801 considered part of Chinquapin Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51510200801 fall within Chinquapin Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51510200801 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51510200801 compare to Alexandria overall?
Tract 51510200801 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of Alexandria at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Alexandria eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Alexandria
Top eight tracts in Alexandria ranked by composite eviction-risk score.