1 census tracts · pop 4,248 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.3/10
· range 7.3–7.3
Shirley Duke is a one-tract neighborhood of Alexandria, VA, population 4,248. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 7.3/10, in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs 62% against 28.3% citywide, putting Shirley Duke 33.3% over its own city.
The severe-burden share is 32%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. 84% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. Set annual rent against average household income of $63,944 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 2.4/10. The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.
Average gross rent is $1,723, 18% below the Alexandria average of $2,089. Among the 26 mapped neighborhoods of Alexandria, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Dowden Terrace and WestEnd Alexandria.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 7.3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
7.3
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Shirley Duke vs AlexandriaHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority71%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport57%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Shirley Duke
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
14.5%Housing insecurity
9.6%Utility shutoff threat
16.3%Food insecurity
13.7%SNAP enrollment
9.7%No health insurance
27.5%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Shirley Duke
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Shirley Duke?
Shirley Duke scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Shirley Duke compare to Alexandria overall?
Shirley Duke scores 1.4 points higher than Alexandria overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 62% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,723 vs $2,089.
Q3
What is the average rent in Shirley Duke?
Average gross rent in Shirley Duke is $1,723/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Shirley Duke residents are renters?
84% of Shirley Duke households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Alexandria). The neighborhood has 4,248 residents.
Q5
Is Shirley Duke a high social-vulnerability area?
Shirley Duke sits in the 57th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Shirley Duke for landlords?
Shirley Duke carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Alexandria as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Shirley Duke?
Shirley Duke has 3,931 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (41.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (37.8%), Hispanic / Latino (12%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
