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Neighborhood · Alexandria, VA

Jefferson Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,974 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.7/10 · range 4.7–4.7

Jefferson Park maps to a single census tract in Alexandria, VA, population 4,974. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.7/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. 15% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, clearly below the Alexandria rate of 28.3%.

Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1/10. Severe burden reaches 15%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 4.4% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. SNAP participation is 2.8% of households versus 15.2% nationally. At $2,228 a month, rents sit 7% over what the rest of Alexandria commands.

That places it #24 of 26 neighborhoods in Alexandria. Only 12% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Rent takes 11% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.7/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Jefferson Park vs Alexandria How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
15.4% -46%
Alexandria: 28.3%
Average gross rent
$2,228 +7%
Alexandria: $2,089
Average HH income
$250,001 +120%
Alexandria: $113,638
Poverty rate
1.8% -79%
Alexandria: 8.4%
Renter share
12.2% -79%
Alexandria: 57.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Jefferson Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.7–4.7

Why Jefferson Park scores 4.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Rent control risk
15% of income on rent · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
12% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Economic stress
1.8% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Risk score comparison

Jefferson Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Jefferson Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.7Jefferson ParkNeighborhood5.9Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Jefferson Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
51510200900 4.7 4,974 15% $2,228
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 13

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 4%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 11%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 31%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 55%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Jefferson Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Jefferson Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Jefferson Park?

Jefferson Park scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Jefferson Park compare to Alexandria overall?

Jefferson Park scores 1.2 points lower than Alexandria overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 15% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $2,228 vs $2,089.
Q3

What is the average rent in Jefferson Park?

Average gross rent in Jefferson Park is $2,228/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 15% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Jefferson Park residents are renters?

12% of Jefferson Park households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Alexandria). The neighborhood has 4,974 residents.
Q5

Is Jefferson Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Jefferson Park sits in the 13th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Jefferson Park for landlords?

Jefferson Park carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Alexandria as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Jefferson Park?

Jefferson Park has 4,824 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (79.7%), Hispanic / Latino (10.5%), Other / Multiracial (5.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Jefferson Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Alexandria

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Jefferson Park.

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