Neighborhood · Alexandria, VA

Jefferson Park Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,974 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1.5/10 · range 1.5–1.5

Jefferson Park is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Alexandria with 1 census tract and a population of 4,974 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1.5/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 15% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 15% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,228/month sits 7% higher than the Alexandria citywide average ($2,089).

Risk score

1.5

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Jefferson Park vs Alexandria How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

15.4% -46%

Alexandria: 28.3%

Average gross rent

$2,228 +7%

Alexandria: $2,089

Average HH income

$250,001 +120%

Alexandria: $113,638

Poverty rate

1.8% -79%

Alexandria: 8.4%

Renter share

12.2% -79%

Alexandria: 57.9%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Jefferson Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 1.5–1.5

Why Jefferson Park scores 1.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts

8.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts

8.0

Rent control risk

15% of income on rent · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Tenant organizing strength

12% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Economic stress

1.8% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts

4.6

Risk score comparison

Jefferson Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Jefferson Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51510200900	1.5	4,974	15%	$2,228

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 13

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 4%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 11%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 31%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 55%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Jefferson Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

4.4%Housing insecurity
2.9%Utility shutoff threat
4.3%Food insecurity
2.8%SNAP enrollment
3.8%No health insurance
19.8%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Jefferson Park

What is the eviction-risk score for Jefferson Park?

Jefferson Park scores 1.5/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Jefferson Park compare to Alexandria overall?

Jefferson Park scores 3.1 points lower than Alexandria overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 15% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $2,228 vs $2,089.

What is the average rent in Jefferson Park?

Average gross rent in Jefferson Park is $2,228/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 15% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Jefferson Park residents are renters?

12% of Jefferson Park households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Alexandria). The neighborhood has 4,974 residents.

Is Jefferson Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Jefferson Park sits in the 13th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Jefferson Park for landlords?

Jefferson Park carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Alexandria as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Jefferson Park?

Jefferson Park has 4,824 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (79.7%), Hispanic / Latino (10.5%), Other / Multiracial (5.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Jefferson Park

3.1 Beverley Hills 2 tracts · pop 7,955 1.8 Rosemont 4 tracts · pop 12,604 1.9 Oakville 4 tracts · pop 9,399 2.4 Lynhaven 2 tracts · pop 5,315 2.1 Delta 2 tracts · pop 7,179 1.9 Alexandria Historic District 5 tracts · pop 14,352

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Alexandria

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Jefferson Park.

1.6 Chinquapin Village 1 tracts · pop 3,415 1.6 Warwick Village 1 tracts · pop 3,569 1.6 Wakefield 1 tracts · pop 4,057 1.6 Braddock 1 tracts · pop 4,132 1.7 North Fairlington 1 tracts · pop 2,230 1.7 Oakville 4 tracts · pop 9,399

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