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Neighborhood · Alexandria, VA

Varsity Park Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 3,225 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6/10 · range 6–6

Varsity Park is a one-tract neighborhood of Alexandria, VA, population 3,225. Scored across those inputs it reaches 6/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs 41% against 28.3% citywide, putting Varsity Park 12.7% over its own city.

Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.5/10. The severe-burden share is 22%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

That places it #9 of 26 neighborhoods in Alexandria. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent runs $2,033, close to the Alexandria average.

Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $95,147. 65% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 6/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
6
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Varsity Park vs Alexandria How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
41.0% +45%
Alexandria: 28.3%
Average gross rent
$2,033 -3%
Alexandria: $2,089
Average HH income
$95,147 -16%
Alexandria: $113,638
Poverty rate
6.1% -27%
Alexandria: 8.4%
Renter share
64.7% +12%
Alexandria: 57.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Varsity Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6–6

Why Varsity Park scores 6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Rent control risk
41% of income on rent · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
65% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Economic stress
6.1% below poverty line · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.8–3.8 across tracts
3.8
Risk score comparison

Varsity Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Varsity Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.0Varsity ParkNeighborhood5.9Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Varsity Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
51510200301 6 3,225 41% $2,033
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 61

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 63%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 38%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 79%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 52%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Varsity Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Varsity Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Varsity Park?

Varsity Park scores 6/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Varsity Park compare to Alexandria overall?

Varsity Park scores 0.1 points higher than Alexandria overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $2,033 vs $2,089.
Q3

What is the average rent in Varsity Park?

Average gross rent in Varsity Park is $2,033/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Varsity Park residents are renters?

65% of Varsity Park households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Alexandria). The neighborhood has 3,225 residents.
Q5

Is Varsity Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Varsity Park sits in the 61st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Varsity Park for landlords?

Varsity Park carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Alexandria as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Varsity Park?

Varsity Park has 3,395 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (30%), Hispanic / Latino (27.6%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (18%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Varsity Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Alexandria

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Varsity Park.

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