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Neighborhood · Arlington, VA

Glencarlyn Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 2,497 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.2/10 · range 6.2–6.2

Glencarlyn is a one-tract neighborhood of Arlington, VA and houses 2,497 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 6.2/10, in the Elevated tier. At $237 a month, rents sit 90% under what the rest of Arlington commands.

The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 1/10. Cost burden runs about one in five against 26.5% citywide, putting Glencarlyn 5.0% under its own city. Court records for this tract carry 11 eviction filings.

Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10. SNAP participation is 6.2% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity affects 8.7% of adults, 9.1 points below the national rate. Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 2.7% of renter households.

Among the 39 mapped neighborhoods of Arlington, it ranks #8 by risk, the upper third. Judgments average 1.0% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

For a like-for-like read, Columbia Forest and Penrose score within a fraction of it. Rent takes 2% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 6.2/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6.2
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Glencarlyn vs Arlington How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
21.5% -19%
Arlington: 26.5%
Average gross rent
$237 -90%
Arlington: $2,322
Average HH income
$152,708 +9%
Arlington: $140,160
Poverty rate
12.3% +73%
Arlington: 7.1%
Renter share
36.6% -38%
Arlington: 58.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Glencarlyn and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6.2–6.2

Why Glencarlyn scores 6.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
22% of income on rent · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
37% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Economic stress
12.3% below poverty line · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts
3.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Risk score comparison

Glencarlyn vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Glencarlyn score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.2GlencarlynNeighborhood6.0Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Glencarlyn

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
51013102100 6.2 2,497 22% $237
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 50

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 12%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 67%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 63%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 84%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Glencarlyn

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 11Total filings (sum)
  • 2.74%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.7%Peak year (2016)
  • 2.74%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Glencarlyn

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Glencarlyn

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Glencarlyn?

Glencarlyn scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Glencarlyn compare to Arlington overall?

Glencarlyn scores 0.2 points higher than Arlington overall (6/10). Renters spend 22% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $237 vs $2,322.
Q3

What is the average rent in Glencarlyn?

Average gross rent in Glencarlyn is $237/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 22% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Glencarlyn residents are renters?

37% of Glencarlyn households are renter-occupied (vs 59% in Arlington). The neighborhood has 2,497 residents.
Q5

Is Glencarlyn a high social-vulnerability area?

Glencarlyn sits in the 50th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Glencarlyn for landlords?

Glencarlyn carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Arlington as a whole (6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Glencarlyn?

Glencarlyn has 2,442 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (51.6%), Hispanic / Latino (19%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (15.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Glencarlyn

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Arlington

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Glencarlyn.

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