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Neighborhood · Arlington, VA

Glencarlyn Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 2,497 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.2/10 · range 6.2–6.2

Glencarlyn is a one-tract neighborhood of Arlington, VA and houses 2,497 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 6.2/10, in the Elevated tier. At $237 a month, rents sit 90% under what the rest of Arlington commands.

The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 1/10. Cost burden runs about one in five against 26.5% citywide, putting Glencarlyn 5.0% under its own city. Court records for this tract carry 11 eviction filings.

Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10. SNAP participation is 6.2% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity affects 8.7% of adults, 9.1 points below the national rate. Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 2.7% of renter households.

Among the 39 mapped neighborhoods of Arlington, it ranks #8 by risk, the upper third. Judgments average 1.0% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

For a like-for-like read, Columbia Forest and Penrose score within a fraction of it. Rent takes 2% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 6.2/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6.2
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Glencarlyn vs Arlington How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
21.5% -19%
Arlington: 26.5%
Average gross rent
$237 -90%
Arlington: $2,322
Average HH income
$152,708 +9%
Arlington: $140,160
Poverty rate
12.3% +73%
Arlington: 7.1%
Renter share
36.6% -38%
Arlington: 58.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Glencarlyn and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6.2–6.2

Why Glencarlyn scores 6.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
22% of income on rent · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
37% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Economic stress
12.3% below poverty line · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts
3.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Risk score comparison

Glencarlyn vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Glencarlyn score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Glencarlyn: 6.26.2GlencarlynNeighborhoodParent city: 6.06.0Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Glencarlyn

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51013102100 6.2 2,497 22% $237
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 50

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 12%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 67%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 63%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 84%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Glencarlyn

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 11Total filings (sum)
  • 2.74%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.7%Peak year (2016)
  • 2.74%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Glencarlyn

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Glencarlyn

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Glencarlyn?

Glencarlyn scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Glencarlyn compare to Arlington overall?

Glencarlyn scores 0.2 points higher than Arlington overall (6/10). Renters spend 22% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $237 vs $2,322.
Q3

What is the average rent in Glencarlyn?

Average gross rent in Glencarlyn is $237/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 22% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Glencarlyn residents are renters?

37% of Glencarlyn households are renter-occupied (vs 59% in Arlington). The neighborhood has 2,497 residents.
Q5

Is Glencarlyn a high social-vulnerability area?

Glencarlyn sits in the 50th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Glencarlyn for landlords?

Glencarlyn carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Arlington as a whole (6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Glencarlyn?

Glencarlyn has 2,442 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (51.6%), Hispanic / Latino (19%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (15.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Glencarlyn

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Arlington

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Glencarlyn.

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