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Neighborhood · Arlington, VA

Penrose Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 5,452 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.1/10 · range 6.1–6.1

Penrose maps to a single census tract in Arlington, VA, population 5,452. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 6.1/10, in the Elevated tier. This is a renter market: 70% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.8/10. 16% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. At $1,943 a month, rents sit 16% under what the rest of Arlington commands.

The filing record is not thin: 42 evictions logged in this tract. Disability prevalence reaches 19.2% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute.

Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10. Food insecurity affects 7.7% of adults, 10.1 points below the national rate.

Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 2.2% of renter households. Cost burden runs 30% against 26.5% citywide, putting Penrose 3.0% over its own city.

Among the 39 mapped neighborhoods of Arlington, it ranks #10 by risk, the upper third. Judgments average 1.0% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

Against average income of $118,284, annual rent is only 20%, a wide affordability cushion.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 6.1/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6.1
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Penrose vs Arlington How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
29.5% +11%
Arlington: 26.5%
Average gross rent
$1,943 -16%
Arlington: $2,322
Average HH income
$118,284 -16%
Arlington: $140,160
Poverty rate
7.4% +4%
Arlington: 7.1%
Renter share
69.7% +19%
Arlington: 58.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Penrose and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6.1–6.1

Why Penrose scores 6.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
30% of income on rent · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
70% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Economic stress
7.4% below poverty line · Range 1.8–1.8 across tracts
1.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Risk score comparison

Penrose vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Penrose score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.1PenroseNeighborhood6.0Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Penrose

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
51013102500 6.1 5,452 30% $1,943
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 17

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 6%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 4%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 56%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 73%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Penrose

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 42Total filings (sum)
  • 2.21%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.2%Peak year (2016)
  • 2.21%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Penrose

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Penrose

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Penrose?

Penrose scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Penrose compare to Arlington overall?

Penrose scores 0.1 points higher than Arlington overall (6/10). Renters spend 30% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $1,943 vs $2,322.
Q3

What is the average rent in Penrose?

Average gross rent in Penrose is $1,943/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Penrose residents are renters?

70% of Penrose households are renter-occupied (vs 59% in Arlington). The neighborhood has 5,452 residents.
Q5

Is Penrose a high social-vulnerability area?

Penrose sits in the 17th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Penrose for landlords?

Penrose carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Arlington as a whole (6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Penrose?

Penrose has 5,309 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (62.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (15.2%), Hispanic / Latino (12%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Penrose

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Arlington

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Penrose.

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