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Neighborhood · Arlington, VA

Penrose Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 5,452 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.1/10 · range 6.1–6.1

Penrose maps to a single census tract in Arlington, VA, population 5,452. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 6.1/10, in the Elevated tier. This is a renter market: 70% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.8/10. 16% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. At $1,943 a month, rents sit 16% under what the rest of Arlington commands.

The filing record is not thin: 42 evictions logged in this tract. Disability prevalence reaches 19.2% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute.

Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10. Food insecurity affects 7.7% of adults, 10.1 points below the national rate.

Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 2.2% of renter households. Cost burden runs 30% against 26.5% citywide, putting Penrose 3.0% over its own city.

Among the 39 mapped neighborhoods of Arlington, it ranks #10 by risk, the upper third. Judgments average 1.0% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

Against average income of $118,284, annual rent is only 20%, a wide affordability cushion.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 6.1/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6.1
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Penrose vs Arlington How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
29.5% +11%
Arlington: 26.5%
Average gross rent
$1,943 -16%
Arlington: $2,322
Average HH income
$118,284 -16%
Arlington: $140,160
Poverty rate
7.4% +4%
Arlington: 7.1%
Renter share
69.7% +19%
Arlington: 58.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Penrose and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6.1–6.1

Why Penrose scores 6.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
30% of income on rent · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
70% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Economic stress
7.4% below poverty line · Range 1.8–1.8 across tracts
1.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Risk score comparison

Penrose vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Penrose score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Penrose: 6.16.1PenroseNeighborhoodParent city: 6.06.0Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Penrose

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51013102500 6.1 5,452 30% $1,943
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 17

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 6%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 4%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 56%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 73%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Penrose

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 42Total filings (sum)
  • 2.21%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.2%Peak year (2016)
  • 2.21%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Penrose

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Penrose

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Penrose?

Penrose scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Penrose compare to Arlington overall?

Penrose scores 0.1 points higher than Arlington overall (6/10). Renters spend 30% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $1,943 vs $2,322.
Q3

What is the average rent in Penrose?

Average gross rent in Penrose is $1,943/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Penrose residents are renters?

70% of Penrose households are renter-occupied (vs 59% in Arlington). The neighborhood has 5,452 residents.
Q5

Is Penrose a high social-vulnerability area?

Penrose sits in the 17th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Penrose for landlords?

Penrose carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Arlington as a whole (6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Penrose?

Penrose has 5,309 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (62.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (15.2%), Hispanic / Latino (12%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Penrose

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Arlington

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Penrose.

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