Willow Lakes Eviction Risk: Lower , Chesapeake

The severe-burden share is 29%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.2/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

Average gross rent is $1,206, 24% below the Chesapeake average. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.1/10. Against the Chesapeake City average of 3.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.6 points.

On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 24% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Social vulnerability reads 4.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $112,120, annual rent is just 13%. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.