Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #78,212 of 84,120 nationally
Willow Lakes Eviction Risk: Lower , Chesapeake
Tract 51550021507 · Chesapeake city, VA · pop 6,394 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
How risky is the Willow Lakes neighborhood of Chesapeake for landlords? Census tract 51550021507 scores 4.3/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 17% of US census tracts.
75% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,206 a month while the average household earns $112,120 a year, roughly 13% of income at the averages. About 24% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.6
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units2,405
Renter share24.1%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate4.9%
Median income$112,120
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
27
th percentile
Low
Within state
25
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chesapeake and the region
Centroid at 36.7921, -76.4419 · click any tract to drill in
Why Willow Lakes scores 1.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
4.9% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,206 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesapeake
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
How Willow Lakes compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 40
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 40%Socioeconomic
- 69%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 20%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.6%Housing insecurity
- 8.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.8%Food insecurity
- 12.8%SNAP enrollment
- 8.4%Transit barriers
- 7.5%No health insurance
- 16.7%Frequent mental distress
- 29.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Willow Lakes
The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at 3.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Chesapeake City County average of 4.3 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 40th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 12.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51550021507
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51550021507?
Census tract 51550021507 in the Willow Lakes neighborhood scores 1.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51550021507?
Median gross rent is $1,206/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51550021507?
4.9% of residents in tract 51550021507 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,394.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51550021507?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 69th, minority 61th, housing 20th.
Q5
Is tract 51550021507 considered part of Willow Lakes?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51550021507 fall within Willow Lakes (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51550021507 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51550021507 compare to Chesapeake overall?
Tract 51550021507 scores 1.6/10, lower than the parent city of Chesapeake at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chesapeake
Top eight tracts in Chesapeake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Campostella Square
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Cloverdale
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Broadmoor
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Parkwood
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Crystal Lake
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Mains Creek Park
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Oak Grove
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Norfolk Highlands
3.2
/ 10 · Low
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