1 census tracts · pop 4,640 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10
· range 5.4–5.4
Watch Run maps to a single census tract in Meadowbrook, VA, population 4,640. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.4/10, Moderate tier. Severe burden reaches 25%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.
The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.6/10. Court records for this tract carry 524 eviction filings. Average gross rent is $1,803, 14% above the Meadowbrook average of $1,583.
The worst year on record was 2013, when filings touched 28.2% of renter households. Rent consumes at least 30% of income for 37% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 14.5% in 2016, is well off that peak.
That places it #1 of 5 neighborhoods in Meadowbrook. At 19% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. For a like-for-like read, Hunting Creek Hills and Dorchester score within a fraction of it.
Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $76,623.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.4/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Watch Run vs MeadowbrookHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority76%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport34%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Watch Run
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
524Total filings (sum)
22.40%Avg annual filing rate
28.2%Peak year (2013)
14.50%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Watch Run
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
18.4%Housing insecurity
11.9%Utility shutoff threat
22.0%Food insecurity
18.7%SNAP enrollment
14.2%No health insurance
35.1%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Watch Run
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Watch Run?
Watch Run scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Watch Run compare to Meadowbrook overall?
Watch Run scores 1.4 points higher than Meadowbrook overall (4/10). Renters spend 37% of income on rent vs 37% citywide. Average rent: $1,803 vs $1,583.
Q3
What is the average rent in Watch Run?
Average gross rent in Watch Run is $1,803/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Watch Run residents are renters?
19% of Watch Run households are renter-occupied (vs 25% in Meadowbrook). The neighborhood has 4,640 residents.
Q5
Is Watch Run a high social-vulnerability area?
Watch Run sits in the 66th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Watch Run for landlords?
Watch Run carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Meadowbrook as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Watch Run?
Watch Run has 5,138 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (40.1%), Hispanic / Latino (27.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (27.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
