1 census tracts · pop 2,007 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.6/10
· range 5.6–5.6
Worthington Farms is a one-tract neighborhood of Manchester, VA and houses 2,007 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.6/10, Moderate tier. The strongest single driver of the headline number is rent-regulation exposure at 8.4/10.
On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 8.3/10. The severe-burden share is 16%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.
The filing record is not thin: 1,131 evictions logged in this tract. Running hot is housing-court posture at 7.4/10.
around a third of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent. The worst year on record was 2010, when filings touched 99.6% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 34.4% in 2016, is well off that peak.
The closest comparables inside the same city are Chesterfield Village and Bexley. Average gross rent runs $1,618, close to the Manchester average. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $79,079.
62% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
One tract means one number: 5.6/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Worthington Farms vs ManchesterHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority68%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport49%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Worthington Farms
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
1,131Total filings (sum)
62.93%Avg annual filing rate
99.6%Peak year (2010)
34.40%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Worthington Farms
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
16.0%Housing insecurity
10.2%Utility shutoff threat
17.6%Food insecurity
14.2%SNAP enrollment
11.3%No health insurance
28.6%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Worthington Farms
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Worthington Farms?
Worthington Farms scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Worthington Farms compare to Manchester overall?
Worthington Farms scores 1.2 points higher than Manchester overall (4.4/10). Renters spend 35% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $1,618 vs $1,558.
Q3
What is the average rent in Worthington Farms?
Average gross rent in Worthington Farms is $1,618/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Worthington Farms residents are renters?
62% of Worthington Farms households are renter-occupied (vs 40% in Manchester). The neighborhood has 2,007 residents.
Q5
Is Worthington Farms a high social-vulnerability area?
Worthington Farms sits in the 65th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Worthington Farms for landlords?
Worthington Farms carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Manchester as a whole (4.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Worthington Farms?
Worthington Farms has 2,031 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (52.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (25.3%), Hispanic / Latino (11.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
